bjtuxuyi/MEHD
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""" This is the pytorch implement of paper "Multivariate event hypergraph diffusion model for train delay prediction" We refer to the code implementation of DSTPP[https://doi.org/10.1145/3580305.3599511] in our work, and we hereby express our sincere gratitude. Abstract: Train delay prediction is a key technology for train scheduling and timetable optimization, and constitutes a critical component of intelligent transportation systems. We present the first study on regional-level multi-train delay prediction problem, and focus on modeling the regional-level delay propagation and evolution process, and capturing coordinated operation status among multiple train clusters in the complex operation network. First, we propose a brand-new Multivariate Event Hypergraph Diffusion (MEHD) model, and introduce a novel data structure, the mixed hypergraph, which accurately models the spatio-temporal high-order correlations between the regional-level multi-train arrival events. Then, we propose a mixed hypergraph convolution method to characterize complex train operation network, which improves the ability to capture the spatio-temporal high-order correlations and non-Euclidean characteristics between events. Finally, we propose an event hypergraph diffusion process, and design a prior operational schedule-conditioned attention denoising module to enhance the ability to learn all train arrival event generation mechanisms. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our MEHD achieves superior performance compared to current state-of-the-art models on actual high-speed rail performance datasets, with an average improvement of 20%-30% on multiple metrics, and performs good robustness and efficiency. Subsequent experiments and analyses demonstrate the unique advantages of MEHD over single-train prediction methods. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first end-to-end model for regional-level multi-train delay prediction. paper link: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2025.105390 program entry:python MySPTT/HY/main_HGConv.py --Optional parameters are available in MySPTT/utils/setup_utils.py If you find our work helpful, please cite our paper. @article{xu2026multivariate, title={Multivariate event hypergraph diffusion model for train delay prediction}, author={Xu, Yi and Li, Honghui and Wu, Chang and Peng, Yunjuan and Du, Xilu and Wang, Hongwei and Mohammed, Sabah and Calvi, Alessandro and Zhang, Dalin}, journal={Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies}, volume={182}, pages={105390}, year={2026}, publisher={Elsevier} } """