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fix(alerts): shorter detection window + investigator wait bumps#60

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fix/alert-detection-window
May 31, 2026
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fix(alerts): shorter detection window + investigator wait bumps#60
coccyx merged 1 commit into
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fix/alert-detection-window

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@coccyx coccyx commented May 31, 2026

Addresses items 1a, 1c, and 1d from the 2026-05-30 eval (PR #59 results).

1a — Alert state machine doesn't fire on low-rate / low-volume services

5 scenarios in the 2026-05-30 eval (cart, ad, product-reviews, recommendation, checkout) never reached FIRING state because the alert evaluator was reading home_service_summary's -1h $vt_results. A 7-min burst on a low-traffic service gets diluted by 53 minutes of healthy traffic below the 1% threshold.

Fix: alertEvaluator() now computes curr_requests / curr_errors directly from spans over a -15m window. Baseline (prev) still reads the -1h criblapm_alert_prev lookup so the comparison is against a longer healthy reference.

Side effects handled:

  • traffic_ratio normalizes both windows to requests-per-minute (curr/15 vs prev/60) so a healthy service doesn't look like it's at 25% of prior traffic from window-duration mismatch alone.
  • Added curr_requests >= 5 floor on the error_rate clause. Without it, very-low-traffic services with 1 error out of 1 span would false-fire.

The three alert searches (criblapm__home_alerts, _alert_state_export, _alert_history_send) all updated to earliest: '-15m'.

1c — Investigator timeouts on gradual-onset scenarios

emailMemoryLeak and recommendationCacheFailure Investigator waitMs bumped 5 → 10 minutes. Both timed out in the 2026-05-30 eval; leakFingerprint already had 10 min.

1d — adHighCpu p99 surface threshold

Pattern was ≥5ms; eval saw ~3-4ms readings. Loosened to ≥3ms.

Not addressed (intentional)

  • 1b: alert_history_send leakage (paymentFailure had state firing but no dataset event). Needs deeper instrumentation; flagged in ROADMAP follow-up.
  • 1b: UI surfaces missing firing state on productCatalogFailure (same diagnosis-needed reason).
  • llmRateLimitError navigation failure when product-reviews drops off the Services list (eval-side workaround).
  • failedReadinessProbe cluster-config check.

Test plan

  • npx tsc --noEmit — clean
  • npm run lint — 0 errors
  • npm test — 107/107 passing
  • npm run deploy — deployed, verified auto:health:cart lookup is fresh (no stale state)
  • MCP probe of new query shape returns sensible per-service rows

Followed by a full eval re-run; results to land in a separate session log.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

Addresses items 1a, 1c, and 1d from the 2026-05-30 eval surfaced
detection failures.

1a (low-rate / low-volume services). The alert evaluator now
computes curr_requests/curr_errors directly from spans over a -15m
window instead of reading home_service_summary's -1h $vt_results.
The -1h window was diluting 7-min flag bursts on low-traffic
services (cart, ad, product-reviews, recommendation) below the 1%
threshold; -15m keeps the signal fresh. Baseline (prev) still
reads the -1h criblapm_alert_prev lookup so the comparison is
against a longer healthy reference.

Side effects handled:
- traffic_ratio now normalizes both windows to requests-per-minute
  (curr/15 vs prev/60) so a healthy service doesn't look like it's
  at 25% of prior traffic from window-duration mismatch alone.
- Added a curr_requests >= 5 floor to the error_rate clause.
  Without it, very-low-traffic services with 1 error out of 1 span
  would false-fire (e.g. product-reviews micro-noise).

1c (investigator timeouts). emailMemoryLeak and recommendationCacheFailure
investigator waitMs bumped 5 → 10 minutes. Both timed out in the
2026-05-30 eval with multi-step playbooks (uptime, memory metric,
slope, downstream health). leakFingerprint already had 10 min.

1d (adHighCpu p99 surface threshold). Pattern was ≥5ms; eval saw
~3-4ms readings. Loosened to ≥3ms.

Not addressed in this PR (intentional):
- 1b: alert_history_send leakage (paymentFailure had state firing
  but no dataset event). Needs deeper instrumentation; flagged in
  ROADMAP for follow-up.
- 1b: UI surfaces missing firing state on productCatalogFailure.
  Same diagnosis-needed reason.
- llmRateLimitError navigation failure when product-reviews drops
  off the Services list (eval-side workaround).
- failedReadinessProbe cluster-config check.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
@coccyx coccyx merged commit 462d5f1 into master May 31, 2026
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@coccyx coccyx deleted the fix/alert-detection-window branch May 31, 2026 05:45
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