[copilot-session-insights] Daily Copilot Agent Session Analysis — 2026-07-10

[github-actions[bot]]

🤖 Copilot Agent Session Analysis — 2026-07-10

Executive Summary

• Sessions Analyzed: 50
• Analysis Period: 7.15-minute burst snapshot (2026-07-10 07:35–07:42Z)
• Completion Rate: 2.0% (1/50) — a new window floor, tying the 06-24/06-26/06-29 lows
• Average Duration: 0.07 min (median 0 min; executed-only mean 1.68 min over 2 non-stub runs)
• Experimental Strategy: none — standard run (roll = 55)
• Data Quality: metadata-only; conversation logs empty for the 43rd consecutive day (behavioral/loop/context analysis remains unavailable — all metrics are CI/infra metadata)

⚠️ This is a compressed mid-burst snapshot: 48/50 runs are 0-duration action_required gate stubs captured within seconds of firing, so the 2% is a floor reading, not a settled outcome. One agentic run was still in_progress at capture.

Key Metrics

Metric	Value	Trend
Total Sessions	50	→
Successful Completions	1 (2%)	↓ (6% → 2%)
Action-Required (gated)	48 (96%)	↑
In-Progress at capture	1 (2%)	→
Hard Failures	0	→
Average Duration	0.07 min	↓
Executed-only Mean	1.68 min	↓
Loop Detection Rate	0 (0%)	→
Orphaned-Branch Rate	0%	→ (43rd healthy day)

Trend Charts 📈

Completion Patterns

Completion has descended in a clean saw-tooth from the 07-04 54% regime spike (a confirmed single-day outlier): 54 → 16 → 8 → 18 → 8 → 6 → 2%. Today sits at the very bottom of the 4-20% floor band that has governed the trailing 30 days (mean ~11.6%). The red "gated/failed" line and the green "successful" line stay near-mirror-images throughout — friction is approval-gating, not hard failure (0 failures again today).

Duration & Efficiency

The distribution stays strongly bimodal: median duration is ≈0 every single day (dozens of 0-duration gate stubs) while the executed-only mean rides multiple minutes (peaks at 16m on 07-07). Today only 2 of 50 runs had non-zero duration, so the all-runs average collapses to 0.07m. Loops remain at 0 across the entire window.

Success Factors ✅

1. "Running Copilot Code Review" gate converts even on floor days: today's sole concluded success was this review gate (3.25m, on deep-report-publish-hotlist). It also hit ~100% on 07-04 and 07-07 — an emerging sub-signal that this specific gate reliably completes regardless of overall completion.
2. Copilot-assigned branches stay healthy: 6/6 open PRs carry the Copilot agent; 0 orphaned, 0 escalations — the assignment discipline that has held for ~43 days.
3. Low gate-footprint branches fare better (BGSI, historical): the 5 low-footprint branches today (5–6 runs each) vs. the 27-run smoke-sweep branch that converted 0/27.

Failure Signals ⚠️

1. Approval-gate saturation dominates: 48/50 runs ended action_required (0-duration), the recurring gate_sweep_zero_duration pattern. This inflates the denominator and drives the 2% floor.
2. Smoke-suite fanout with zero conversion: fix-mcp-gateway-docker-daemon-access fired the entire Smoke * suite (27 runs) and completed none — the largest single-branch gate footprint in the trailing window (BGSI inverse relation: high footprint ⇒ low completion).
3. Snapshot timing understates outcomes: capturing 50 runs inside a 7-minute burst guarantees most are caught pre-conclusion; the true settled completion is likely modestly higher.

Prompt Quality Analysis 📝

Conversation transcripts have been unavailable for 43 consecutive days (OAuth token failure), so prompt-clarity and internal-reasoning assessment cannot be performed. All findings below are inferred from workflow-run metadata (names, branches, conclusions, durations) only.

• High-reliability provenance (historical): "Addressing comment on PR #..." agentic runs and the "Running Copilot Code Review" gate.
• Structurally 0%-by-design: review-trigger workflows (Q, Agentic Commands, Smoke suite) land in action_required pending approval — not a quality signal.

No prompt-text examples can be sanitized/quoted without transcripts.

Orphaned Branch Escalation Alerts 🚨

Branches with ≥5 simultaneous gate firings and no Copilot agent assigned for >2 hours.

Summary

• Orphaned Branches Today: 0 out of 6 open PRs (0%)
• Historical Baseline: ~40% orphaned rate
• Status: ✅ NORMAL (well below the 50% elevated-waste threshold; ~43rd consecutive healthy day)

Escalation Candidate Details

✅ No orphaned branches exceed the escalation threshold today.

• All 6 open PRs (docs: review and organize cost-management page #44685, Teach DeepReport to publish a ranked function-complexity hotlist #44667, Add step shell script validator: gh CLI without GH_TOKEN heuristic #44661, feat: content redaction for public-facing safe-outputs #44501, Add declarative custom-engine frontmatter and migrate Crush/OpenCode to shared behavior definitions #44465, fix: robust Docker socket GID resolution for ARC/DinD and split-daemon topologies #44446) are Copilot-assigned, so none qualify as orphaned.
• Active in_progress runs at capture were on main only (×3); no copilot/* branch had any active gate saturation (max active gates/copilot-branch = 0).
• The heaviest gate-footprint branch (fix-mcp-gateway-docker-daemon-access, 27 runs) is agent-assigned (PR fix: robust Docker socket GID resolution for ARC/DinD and split-daemon topologies #44446), so its fanout is expected smoke coverage, not orphaned waste.

Marker note: this repo tags the agent as Copilot (not copilot-swe-agent as the shared jq assumes); using the correct marker, 0 branches escalate. Under the literal shared marker there would be no false positives today since no unassigned branch is gate-saturated.

CI Waste Estimate

• Orphaned gate-hours today: 0 (no orphaned, gate-saturated branches).
• The 27-run smoke sweep is legitimate coverage on an assigned branch, not recoverable waste.

Notable Observations — Branch, Gate & Loop Diagnostics

Branch / Gate Footprint (6 branches)

Branch	Runs	Successes
copilot/fix-mcp-gateway-docker-daemon-access	27	0
copilot/add-test-for-init-command	6	0
copilot/add-agentic-workflows-prompt	6	0
copilot/update-go-compiler-validator	5	0 (1 in_progress)
copilot/feature-content-redaction	5	0
copilot/deep-report-publish-hotlist	1	1 ✅

Loop Detection

• Sessions with loops: 0 (0%). No runaway/stuck sessions detectable at metadata level.

Tool / Workflow Usage

• Most-fired: full Smoke * suite (Water, Trigger, Pi, Gemini, Codex, Claude, Crush, OpenCode, Antigravity, Agent×5, Multi-Caller/PR, Cross-Repo PR, ARM64, Temporary ID...) = the 27-run smoke bundle; plus Agentic Commands ×7, Q ×6, Smoke CI/Doc Build/CWI/CGO ×2 each.
• Only 2 runs executed to non-zero duration: Running Copilot Code Review (3.25m) + Addressing comment PR#44661 (0.1m, in_progress).

Context Issues

• Not assessable — conversation logs empty (43rd day).

Experimental Analysis

Standard analysis only — no experimental strategy this run (roll = 55, threshold < 30). Established experimental metrics (BGSI, AWTC, GBCD) were applied as confirmatory lenses:

• BGSI (Branch Gate-Saturation Index): inverse relation holds — the 27-run smoke branch converted 0%, the low-footprint branches carried the only success.
• provenance_inversion: partial break — the sole concluded success was a core review gate rather than an agentic run (the agentic run was still in_progress). Consistent with the 07-04/07-07 pattern where "Copilot Code Review" converts on otherwise-floor days.

Actionable Recommendations

For Users Writing Task Descriptions

1. Prefer comment-driven, scoped tasks ("Addressing comment on PR #...") — the highest-reliability provenance across the window.
2. Expect approval-gating, not failure — a branch sitting at action_required is awaiting first-party approval; the fix is a reviewer action, not a prompt rewrite.

For System Improvements

1. Snapshot timing (High impact): the 7-minute capture window guarantees mid-flight readings and understated completion. Sampling after a settle delay, or re-polling in_progress runs, would yield truer completion rates.
2. Smoke-suite fanout cost (Medium): a single MCP/gateway-touching branch fires 27 smoke workflows. Worth confirming this bundle is intended for every such push vs. change-type-gated (per the GBCD change-TYPE-adaptive finding).

For Tool Development

1. Conversation-log fetch (Critical, 43 sessions blocked): the OAuth token failure has blocked all behavioral/loop/context analysis for 43 consecutive days. Restoring transcript access is the single highest-value fix for this workflow.

Historical Trends & Statistical Summary

Trends Over Time

• Completion: saw-tooth descent 54 → 16 → 8 → 18 → 8 → 6 → 2%; 07-04 spike confirmed as an isolated gate-green outlier. Trailing-30d mean ~11.6%, median ~8%.
• Duration: persistently bimodal (median ≈0 vs executed-mean multi-minute); no loops for the full window.
• Orphan rate: 0% for ~43 consecutive days vs ~40% historical baseline — a durable improvement in agent-assignment discipline.

Statistical Summary

Total Sessions Analyzed:     50
Successful Completions:       1 (2.0%)
Action-Required (gated):     48 (96.0%)
In-Progress at capture:       1 (2.0%)
Hard Failures:                0 (0.0%)

Average Session Duration:    0.07 min
Median Session Duration:     0.00 min
Executed-only Mean:          1.68 min (n=2)
Longest Run:                 3.25 min (Running Copilot Code Review)
Capture Window:              7.15 min (07:35–07:42Z)

Loop Detection:              0 sessions (0%)
Unique Branches:             6 (all copilot/*)
Max Gate Count / Branch:     27 (fix-mcp-gateway-docker-daemon-access)

Orphaned Branches:           0 of 6 open PRs (0%) — NORMAL
Escalation Candidates:       0
Conversation Logs:           empty (43rd consecutive day)

Next Steps

• Restore conversation-log/OAuth access (43-day outage — top priority)
• Consider a settle-delay or in_progress re-poll to de-bias the burst-snapshot completion rate
• Confirm whether the 27-run smoke bundle should be change-type-gated
• Watch whether "Copilot Code Review" gate-converts-on-floor-days firms into a stable sub-signal
• Schedule follow-up analysis tomorrow (daily cadence)

---

Analysis generated automatically on 2026-07-10.
Run ID: §29077789655
Workflow: Copilot Session Insights

References:

• §29077138302 — the one success (Running Copilot Code Review)
• §29077360717 — in-progress agentic run (Addressing comment PR#44661)
• §29077461590 — representative smoke-bundle gate stub

Generated by 📊 Copilot Session Insights · 399 AIC · ⌖ 41 AIC · ⊞ 17.1K · ◷

• expires on Jul 11, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC-08:00

[github-actions[bot]]

This discussion has been marked as outdated by Copilot Session Insights.

A newer discussion is available at Discussion #44913.