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79 changes: 79 additions & 0 deletions src/data/post/oct25-icenet-forecasts-published.mdx
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---
publishDate: 2025-10-07T00:00:00Z
author: Bryn Noel Ubald
title: Operational IceNet Forecasts Now Publicly Accessible!
excerpt: IceNet forecasts are now available on the PDC's RAMADDA platform.
image: https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1598439210625-5067c578f3f6?q=80&w=2072&auto=format&fit=crop&ixlib=rb-4.1.0&ixid=M3wxMjA3fDB8MHxwaG90by1wYWdlfHx8fGVufDB8fHx8fA%3D%3D
category: Article
tags:
- news
metadata:
canonical: https://astrowind.vercel.app/astrowind-template-in-depth
---

import DListItem from '~/components/ui/DListItem.astro';
import ToggleTheme from '~/components/common/ToggleTheme.astro';

We are thrilled to announce that the Polar Data Centre's [RAMADDA data repository](https://ramadda.data.bas.ac.uk/repository/a/icenet-daily-sea-ice-forecasts) is now home to daily IceNet forecasts! This platform now enables a wide range of end-users to access these forecasts. With automated inclusion of latest forecasts as they are generated on a daily basis.

Use-cases could involve:

- Empowering researchers/students in research
- Informing policymakers
- Navigation of ships in polar regions
- Environmental monitoring

**Please note that IceNet forecasts are highly experimental and is a research codebase**

<a href="https://ramadda.data.bas.ac.uk/repository/a/icenet-daily-sea-ice-forecasts" target="_blank">Explore IceNet on RAMADDA</a>

### Why This Matters
Sea ice plays a critical role in global climate systems, influencing ocean currents, wildlife habitats, and human activities like shipping. IceNet forecasts can enable users to visualise and analyse daily forecasts of sea-ice.

### Join Us in Exploring the Polar Regions
Whether you're a scientist, student, or simply curious about Earth's changing environment, we invite you to dive into IceNet forecasts via RAMADDA.


## Model definition

The current release of the forecasts contain daily sea ice forecasts across the northern and southern hemispheres (via two separate models) derived from OSI-SAF 25km<sup>2</sup> grid used as ground truth. They are labelled as `exp23_north` and `exp23_south`, and forecast up to 93 days ahead, with a roughly 5-7 day delay depending on ERA5 data release cycle.

These models were trained using [icenet v0.2.4_dev](https://pypi.org/project/icenet/0.2.4/) on the British Antarctic Survey's internal HPC (BAS HPC) with the following input variables:

* ERA5
* psl
* ta500
* tas
* tos
* uas
* vas
* zg250
* zg500
* OSI-SAF
* siconca (also, the target variable)

### Train splits
The date ranges used for training are as follows:
* 1994-01-01 to 1995-12-31
* 2006-01-01 to 2008-12-31
* 2011-01-01 to 2013-12-31

### Validation splits
The date ranges used for validation are as follows:
* 2009-07-01 to 2010-06-30

### Prediction

The predictions are generated using [icenet v0.2.9](https://pypi.org/project/icenet/0.2.9/), also on BAS HPC.

### License

Unless otherwise stated, all content is owned by British Antarctic Survey and The Alan Turing Institute 2025, and made available via the [Open Government License](https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/) which is compatible with the [CC-BY-4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

## Future

In the future, RAMADDA will also host IceNet forecasts from different models:
- AMSR2 sea-ice based predictions.
- Monthly predictions, up to 6 months ahead.
- Fine-tuned models combining OSI-SAF and AMSR2 training.

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],
},
],
actions: [{ text: 'Documentation', href: 'docs/', target: '_blank' }],
actions: [{ text: 'Documentation', href: '/docs/', target: '_blank' }],
};

export const footerData = {
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92 changes: 56 additions & 36 deletions src/pages/index.astro
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</Fragment>

<Fragment slot="subtitle">
<p>
IceNet is a deep learning sea ice forecasting system developed by an <a
class="hyperlink"
href="https://www.bas.ac.uk/media-post/artificial-intelligence-to-help-predict-arctic-sea-ice-loss/"
>international team and led by the British Antarctic Survey and The Alan Turing Institute</a
>. The original IceNet research model, published in <a
class="hyperlink"
href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25257-4"><b>Nature Communications</b></a
>, was trained on climate simulations and observational data to forecast the next 6 months of monthly-averaged
sea ice concentration maps. This version advanced the range of accurate sea ice forecasts, outperforming a
state-of-the-art dynamical model (ECMWF SEAS5) in seasonal forecasts of summer sea ice, particularly for extreme
sea ice events.
</p><br />
<p>
Since then, the IceNet team has focused on building an operational version of the model which forecasts on a
daily resolution. The <a class="hyperlink" href="https://www.github.com/tom-andersson/icenet-paper"
>original research code</a
> was refactored into <code>icenet</code> - <a class="hyperlink" href="https://github.com/icenet-ai/icenet"
>a library for operational forecasting</a
>. The <code>icenet</code> library can support further research efforts into AI-based operational sea ice forecasting.
</p><br />
<p>
In addition, several use cases and an ecosystem of service components are contained within this organization,
supporting execution and downstream analysis.
</p>
<p>
<br />
For further information about the team involved, please look at the <a
class="hyperlink"
href="https://www.bas.ac.uk/project/icenet/">project pages at BAS</a
> or <a
class="hyperlink"
href="https://www.turing.ac.uk/news/artificial-intelligence-help-predict-arctic-sea-ice-loss"
>The Alan Turing Institute</a
>.
</p>
<div class="intersect-once intersect-quarter motion-safe:md:opacity-0 motion-safe:md:intersect:animate-fade">
<p>
IceNet is a deep learning sea ice forecasting system developed by an
<a
class="hyperlink"
href="https://www.bas.ac.uk/media-post/artificial-intelligence-to-help-predict-arctic-sea-ice-loss/"
>
international team and led by the British Antarctic Survey and The Alan Turing Institute
</a>.
The original IceNet research model, published in
<a
class="hyperlink"
href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25257-4"
>
<b>Nature Communications</b>
</a>,
was trained on climate simulations and observational data to forecast the next 6 months of
monthly-averaged sea ice concentration maps. This version advanced the range of accurate sea
ice forecasts, outperforming a state-of-the-art dynamical model (ECMWF SEAS5) in seasonal
forecasts of summer sea ice, particularly for extreme sea ice events. <br><br>
</p>

<p>
Since then, the IceNet team has focused on building an operational version of the model which
forecasts on a daily resolution. The
<a class="hyperlink" href="https://www.github.com/tom-andersson/icenet-paper">
original research code
</a>
was refactored into <code>icenet</code> –
<a class="hyperlink" href="https://github.com/icenet-ai/icenet">
a library for operational forecasting
</a>.
The <code>icenet</code> library can support further research efforts into AI-based operational
sea ice forecasting. <br><br>
</p>

<p>
In addition, several use cases and an ecosystem of service components are contained within
this organisation, supporting execution and downstream analysis.
</p>

<p>
For further information about the team involved, please look at the
<a class="hyperlink" href="https://www.bas.ac.uk/project/icenet/">
project pages at BAS
</a>
or
<a
class="hyperlink"
href="https://www.turing.ac.uk/news/artificial-intelligence-help-predict-arctic-sea-ice-loss"
>
The Alan Turing Institute
</a>.
</p>
</div>
</Fragment>

</Hero>

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