Kairos v1.0.0 - Disciplined-Decision Aid
First stable release of Kairos as a disciplined football betting decision-aid.
What's in v1.0.0
- Engine (pure stdlib): Poisson + Dixon-Coles, Elo, Monte Carlo, de-vig, EV + fractional Kelly, lambda fragility test.
- Report renderer: consistent plain-English card (team names, HOME/AWAY, ODDS% vs MY%, BET/SKIP/TRAP).
- Ledger: prediction log + calibration (Brier / ROI / CLV), score-based settling, duplicate-ID safety.
- Tests: 64 assertions across engine + ledger; GitHub Actions CI.
Posture
Recommend-only, keyless. Value-first; willing to say "bet nothing". Honest about its ceiling — the inputs are hand-estimated, which Phase 0 (v2.0.0) addresses with sharp-line comparison + data feeds.
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