- Matt Wolfie
- Deeplearning.AI
- AI Explained
- 2 minute paper
- AI Advantage
- Mattvid
Autonomous Cognitive Attack Surface Mapper Using Behavioral AI and Markov Chain Attack Prediction
Instead of only mapping an organization's attack surface or only predicting attacks, the system does both:
- Discovers assets automatically.
- Builds an attack graph of possible attack paths.
- Learns attacker behavior from historical data.
- Predicts the attacker's next move using Markov Chains.
- Continuously updates risk scores.
- Provides autonomous security recommendations.
Current attack surface management tools can identify assets and vulnerabilities but typically cannot answer:
- Which asset is most likely to be attacked next?
- How is the attacker likely to move through the network?
- Which vulnerabilities create the most dangerous attack paths?
- What should defenders prioritize fixing first?
This system answers these questions using behavioral analytics.
Internet/Internal Network
│
▼
Attack Surface Discovery
│
▼
Asset Inventory
│
▼
Vulnerability Analysis
│
▼
Attack Graph Generator
│
▼
Behavioral AI Engine
│
├── Markov Chain Model
├── Risk Prediction
├── Path Forecasting
└── Recommendation Engine
│
▼
Dashboard
The scanner discovers:
- Servers
- Routers
- Switches
- Workstations
- IoT Devices
192.168.1.10
├─ 22 SSH
├─ 80 HTTP
└─ 443 HTTPS
- Nmap
- Python
- Scapy
Correlates services with known vulnerabilities.
Example:
Server A
├─ Apache 2.4.49
└─ CVE-2021-41773
Risk:
Critical
CVSS: 9.8
Creates possible attack paths.
Internet
│
▼
Web Server
│
▼
Database Server
│
▼
Domain Controller
Represent as graph:
Node = Asset
Edge = Possible Exploit Path
Libraries:
networkx
graphviz
This is where the Markov model enters.
Reconnaissance
Port Scan
Enumeration
Exploitation
Privilege Escalation
Lateral Movement
Persistence
Exfiltration
Historical attack logs create transition probabilities.
Example:
| Current | Next | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Port Scan | Enumeration | 0.75 |
| Enumeration | Exploitation | 0.81 |
| Exploitation | Priv Esc | 0.62 |
Suppose the attacker has:
Recon
↓
Port Scan
↓
Enumeration
The model predicts:
82% Exploitation
11% Additional Enumeration
7% Exit
Security team receives:
HIGH RISK
Likely exploitation attempt within next phase.
Traditional risk:
CVSS = 9.8
Your system computes:
Behavioral Risk
=
CVSS
×
Attack Probability
×
Asset Criticality
Example:
CVSS = 9.8
Attack Probability = 0.82
Criticality = 10
Risk Score = 80.36
This is much more useful than CVSS alone.
The AI suggests actions:
Predicted Path:
Web Server
↓
Database Server
↓
Domain Controller
Recommendations:
Patch CVE-2021-41773
Disable SMBv1
Restrict Lateral Movement
Enable MFA
Assets Found: 152
Open Ports: 943
Critical Hosts: 12
Visual graph of network paths.
Current State:
Enumeration
Next Likely State:
Exploitation (82%)
Red = Critical
Orange = High
Yellow = Medium
Allow the system to learn:
Which attack paths attackers prefer
over time.
Hidden Markov Models
Use observed events:
Failed Login
Port Scan
Suspicious DNS
to infer hidden attacker states.
Analyze attack graphs for:
Most vulnerable attack path
Most student projects do one of these:
- Vulnerability Scanner
- Attack Graph Generator
- Intrusion Detection System
- Risk Dashboard
This project combines all four plus predictive analytics.
It demonstrates knowledge of:
- Network Security
- Ethical Hacking
- Threat Modeling
- Markov Chains
- Graph Theory
- Data Analytics
- AI for Cybersecurity
- Attack Surface Management
This is a cybersecurity project that has a clear path from a simple version (Nmap + Markov Chains + Dashboard) to an advanced research-grade system.