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πŸ“Š Descriptive & Predictive Sales Analysis for Juls Burgers & Fruit Shakes

πŸ“… Analysis Period: May 2023 – March 2024
πŸ“ Business: Juls Burgers & Fruit Shakes
πŸ“ˆ Focus: Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) & Revenue Forecasting


🎯 Project Overview

This project provides an in-depth sales analysis and forecasting for Juls Burgers & Fruit Shakes, helping the business understand key trends, optimize operations, and predict future revenue.

βœ… Key Objectives:
βœ”οΈ Identify sales trends, peak seasons, and customer demand patterns.
βœ”οΈ Develop an XGBoost forecasting model for 2-month revenue predictions.
βœ”οΈ Provide data-driven recommendations for business growth.


πŸ“Š Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)

πŸ”Ή Dataset: 25,000+ daily transactions πŸ“‹
πŸ”Ή Time Frame: May 2023 – March 2024
πŸ”Ή Features: Date, product categories, quantity sold, revenue, etc.

πŸ“Œ Key Insights from EDA:
πŸ“ Peak sales occur on weekends and payday periods.
πŸ“ Fruit shakes contribute 40% of total revenue, especially in summer.
πŸ“ Discounts & promotions increase sales volume by 18%, but reduce profit margins.


πŸš€ Predictive Modeling & Forecasting

A machine learning-based forecasting model was implemented using XGBoost.

πŸ”Ή Algorithm Used: XGBoost Regression
πŸ”Ή Evaluation Metric: Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE)
πŸ”Ή Model Performance: β‚±87.54 RMSE

πŸ” Business Impact:
βœ”οΈ Forecasts help in inventory planning & demand estimation.
βœ”οΈ Owners can optimize marketing strategies for peak sales periods.


πŸ›  Tech Stack

Category Tools Used
Programming Python (Pandas, NumPy, Matplotlib, Seaborn)
Modeling XGBoost, Scikit-learn
Visualization Matplotlib, Seaborn
Notebook Jupyter Notebook
Version Control GitHub

πŸ”§ How to Run

1️⃣ Clone this repository:

git clone https://github.com/yourusername/sales-analysis.git

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A descriptive and predictive data analysis of sales of a small business using Pandas and XGBoost.

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