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docs(adr): ADR-103 — learned multi-person counter (SOTA path)#693

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docs(adr): ADR-103 — learned multi-person counter (SOTA path)#693
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@ruvnet ruvnet commented May 21, 2026

Proposes a learned multi-person counter cog (cog-person-count) that closes the conceptual loop opened by #499 — turns multi-person counting from a heuristic + runtime knob into a learned task, reusing the Candle / HF-encoder / Cog-packaging primitives we shipped this week.

Headline architecture: per-node CSI → HF encoder → count softmax {0..7} + confidence sigmoid → multi-node confidence-weighted log-sum + Stoer-Wagner min-cut upper-bound clip → {count, confidence, count_p95_low, count_p95_high}.

Compares directly against published WiFi-CSI counting SOTA (WiCount 89%/MIMO, DeepCount 92%/MIMO, CrossCount 84% cross-room, HeadCount <1 MAE/MIMO) and is explicit about the hardware gap. v0.1.0 acceptance: ≥80% within-±1 same-room / ≥60% cross-room.

Notable: count labels come for free from the existing collect-ground-truth.py pipeline (records n_persons per frame), so this is not data-bound to bootstrap — can train tomorrow on the 1,077 samples that produced pose_v1 yesterday.

Status: Proposed. This PR lands only the ADR. Implementation follows in incremental PRs per ADR-101's pattern.

🤖 Generated with claude-flow

Motivated by #499 (multi-node double-skeletons) which PR #491 stopped
the bleeding on but didn't take to the WiFi-CSI literature's state of
the art. Designs a learned counter that replaces today's slot
heuristic + dedup_factor knob, reusing the primitives we've already
shipped this week:

  * Candle / RTX 5080 training pipeline (proven yesterday, 2.1 s for
    400 epochs on pose_v1.safetensors)
  * HF presence encoder as initialization (architectures compatible,
    unlike the pose head case)
  * ruvector-mincut (Stoer-Wagner) for multi-node fusion upper-bound
  * Cog packaging spec (ADR-100) + edge module registry (ADR-102)
  * Paired-data pipeline (PR #641 streaming-safe align-ground-truth.js)
    — `n_persons` labels come for free; no new data collection
    campaign required to bootstrap.

Architecture:
  per-node CSI [56×20] -> frozen HF encoder -> 128-dim embedding
                                          \
                                           > count head (softmax {0..7})
                                           > confidence head (sigmoid)
  N nodes' distributions -> confidence-weighted log-sum
                         -> Stoer-Wagner min-cut upper-bound clip
                         -> { count, confidence,
                              count_p95_low, count_p95_high,
                              per_node_breakdown }

Compares the proposal explicitly against WiCount / DeepCount /
CrossCount / HeadCount published numbers and is honest about the
hardware gap (their 3x3 MIMO research NICs vs our 1x1 SISO ESP32-S3).

v0.1.0 acceptance gates target >=80% within-+/-1 same-room and
>=60% cross-room — modest on purpose; bounded by the same paired-
data scarcity #645 documents for pose. The framework is the
deliverable; the accuracy follows the data.

Includes:
  * Architecture diagram in ascii
  * Comparison table vs published WiFi-CSI counting SOTA
  * Per-failure-mode mapping from #499 symptoms to how the
    learned counter addresses each
  * v0.1.0 + v0.2.0 acceptance gates with measurable thresholds
  * Repo layout for the new `v2/crates/cog-person-count/` crate
  * Five-step migration plan from this ADR -> first GCS release

Status: Proposed. Implementation follows in the same incremental
pattern ADR-101 used: scaffold-cog PR -> train+publish PR ->
server-wiring PR.
@ruvnet ruvnet merged commit 962e0f4 into main May 21, 2026
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@ruvnet ruvnet deleted the feat/adr-103-learned-multi-person-counter branch May 21, 2026 22:28
ruvnet added a commit that referenced this pull request May 21, 2026
…al (#697)

Phase 4 of ADR-103. Adds the long-running polling loop so the cog's
fourth verb (`run`) does real work, completing the ADR-100 runtime
contract end-to-end:

  cog-person-count version    → "person-count 0.3.0"
  cog-person-count manifest   → JSON skeleton
  cog-person-count health     → loads weights + 1-shot infer + emit
  cog-person-count run --config  → long-running per-frame emit  ← THIS

What ships:

* src/runtime.rs (new) — `run_loop` polls sensing_url every poll_ms,
  slides a [56, 20] CSI window, runs InferenceEngine::infer, emits
  publisher::person_count events. Same shape as
  cog-pose-estimation::runtime — fetch_frame extracts amplitudes
  from `snapshot.nodes[0].amplitude[]`, fails open on connect errors
  with a WARN log rather than crashing.
* src/lib.rs — registers the runtime module.
* src/main.rs — cmd_run now loads RunConfig from a JSON file, builds
  the InferenceEngine (with weights if cfg.model_path is set,
  otherwise auto-discover), emits a run.started event, and hands off
  to the Tokio multi-thread runtime's block_on(run_loop). Single-node
  fusion is a no-op for N=1 today; v0.2.0 will append predictions
  from sibling nodes and call fusion::fuse_confidence_weighted before
  emit.

Verified locally:

  cargo check  -p cog-person-count --no-default-features   → clean
  cargo test   -p cog-person-count                          → 15/15 pass (no regressions)
  cargo build  -p cog-person-count --release                → 2.36 MB unchanged
  ./cog-person-count run --config bad-config.json:
    line 1: {"event":"run.started","fields":{"cog":"person-count",
             "sensing_url":"http://127.0.0.1:9999/...",poll_ms:100,
             "model_path":"(auto-discover)"}}
    line 2: WARN sensing-server fetch failed
            error=Connection Failed: Connect error: actively refused
    (loop alive — exits cleanly on SIGTERM, no crash, no NaN)

Also adds a "Relationship to the in-process score_to_person_count
heuristic" section to cog/README.md explaining the dual-emitter
design (sensing-server keeps emitting the PR #491 slot heuristic;
the cog runs out-of-process and emits person.count events from the
learned model). Operators choose by installing the cog or not — no
sensing-server rebuild required.

ADR-103 §"Migration" status:
  1. Land ADR + scaffold ........... done (#693, #694)
  2. Train count_v1 ................ done (#695)
  3. Cross-compile + sign + GCS .... done (#696)
  4. Server-side wiring ............ done — out-of-process design
                                      means no rewire needed; this
                                      cog is the wiring.
  5. v0.2.0 multi-room + LoRA ...... data-bound (#645)
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