Include 5th and 95th percentile ERFs

What's Changed

• add 5th and 95th by @chrisroadmap in #48

Full Changelog: v6.4.1...v6.4.2

Indicators 2025 additional forcing categories

No revision to data compared to v6.4.0, though new forcing categories added for visualization:

• all well-mixed GHGs
• non-GHG anthropogenic
• natural

Indicators 2025 revision

This is the snapshot of effective radiative forcing from 1750-2025 that is used in the revised submission of IGCC2025.

Indicators 2024 final

This is the snapshot of effective radiative forcing from 1750-2024 that is used in the revised submission of IGCC2024.

The update since v6.3.0 is to include the latest GHG concentrations updated from NOAA and AGAGE, remove some questionable data from the 2024 estimates of GHG concentrations, and update the equivalent emissions. The ERF is also updated to incorporate these changes, with very minor effects (no change in the best estimate ERF to 2 decimal places).

Indicators 2024 submission

This is the snapshot of effective radiative forcing from 1750-2024 that is used in the first submission of IGCC2024.

The update since v6.3.0-alpha is to include the latest GHG concentrations updated from NOAA and AGAGE.

CEDS CMIP7 version

This release updates the SLCF emissions time series using CEDS v2025.03.18 to 2023, and uses the CAMS dataset to extend to 2024.

CAMS and stratospheric water vapour fix

Updates since v6.3.0-alpha1:

• CAMS emissions dataset processed and used to extend CEDS from 2022 (very very small updates)
• fix for the stratospheric water vapour from methane oxidation, which wasn't zero in 1750

WMO pre-release

Updates since v6.3.0-alpha0:

• GHG concentrations updated, and 2024 best estimates from Xin Lan used explicitly
• volcanic stratospheric water vapour forcing from Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai taken from the Microwave Limb Sounder data to 2024 and run through radiative transfer model
• land use forcing used from LUH2-GCB2024
• irrigation forcing from global irrigated area

Preliminary 2024 Indicators ERF

This is a preliminary release of the effective radiative forcing dataset for 2024 relative to 1750. Many datasets have not been updated to 2024, and are based on extrapolations or estimates.

Inverse GHG emissions

This release is an update of v6.2.0 which updates the ERF estimate to 2023.

• A very minor bug in SLCF emissions was fixed.
• A dataset of minor GHG emissions based on inverted concentrations has been included.