Polymarket Arbitrage Bot

Market making bot for Polymarket 15-min crypto prediction markets. Based on gabagool22's strategy (~$300k/month).

Quick Start

cd polymarket-bot
uv sync
cp .env.example .env  # configure API keys

Commands

# Gabagool Mode - aggressive MM (55+ fills/min)
uv run python -m src.testing.gabagool_mode 10

# Paper trading with shadow comparison
uv run python shadow_trade.py --duration 30

# Simple paper trading
uv run python paper_trade.py --duration 60

Strategy

Buy both UP and DOWN at bid prices. If combined < $1.00, guaranteed profit.

Current calibration (gabagool-style):

• Order size: 5-20 shares
• Price levels: 16
• Fill probability: 50%
• ROI: ~1.4%

Key Files

File	Description
src/testing/gabagool_mode.py	Main trading mode
src/testing/fill_simulator.py	Fill simulation (calibrated)
src/tracking/realtime_tracker.py	WebSocket gabagool tracking
config/settings.py	All configuration

Status

Paper trading ready. See intro.md for handoff notes.