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@GunnarZarncke GunnarZarncke released this 25 Jul 15:02

v1.3.0 — 2026-07-25 — Field news, chapter art, external transfer, and graded-lab v4

Field news ties 2026 alignment incidents to manuscript chapters; chapter-opening illustrations cover Part I–II (ch01–ch16); graded-lab v4 restructures the empirical program as independent per-bridge rigs; external transfer (ET-1 and ET-2) adds the first cross-codebase instrument runs; and the experimental evidence spine now states what the lines say about the book's chapter claims — in the manuscript, on the companion site, and in the ledgers.

Field news (metadata/field-news/ + manuscript cites)

  • Nine-card /news/ layer synced from metadata/field-news.yml and body files via sync-field-news.mjs; chapter cards show a Related news sidebar; nav links to /news/.
  • Tier A (six incidents): OpenAI/Hugging Face hack, long-horizon sandbox, AISI cheating, METR Frontier Risk report, Mythos withheld, accidental chain-of-thought opt-out — site cards plus surgical \autocite{} in ch11–ch43 and Appendix B.
  • Tier B (four clusters): CLTR + Claude Code (site); METR Anthropic red-team (ch42); OpenClaw (site + ch26); OpenAI/HF card rewritten with entity-attribution / UAD framing and graded-lab cross-link.
  • Bibliography: ten new 2026 keys + summaries.

Chapter-opening illustrations (ch01–ch16)

  • Sixteen figures in figures/illustrations/ inserted into ch01–ch16 .tex (title-only caption); web JPEG pipeline for the site; PDF keeps source PNGs.

Graded-lab v4 — per-bridge rig architecture (experiments/graded-lab-simulation/)

  • Portfolio, not gate chain. Each bridge assumption MBx gets its own rig R-MBx with a declared precondition, substrate policy, and pre-registered predictions. A failed precondition yields SKIP-with-finding for that rig only; other rigs keep running. This is the ch42 safety-case argument — leaves must not collapse into one "machinery transferred" checkbox — as experiment architecture.
  • Precondition, not gate. Every rig runs a mechanical precondition check on its substrate first; SKIP records measured values ("substrate lacks property X at level Y") as a reportable finding, not a program failure.
  • Substrate policy (S-blind / S-fixture / S-inherited). Three pre-registered substrate classes with decreasing claim strength; the anti-developed-to-the-test rule is fixed at freeze, not chosen after seeing results.
  • Shared fixture layer. Substrate and reference episode traces are produced once per tuple and cached; rigs consume traces rather than re-simulating the full ecology.
  • channel_severance runtime primitive added for R-MB7d channel-ablation tests.
  • One rig, one results file, one FINDINGS entry per battery; cross-rig synthesis is a separate, explicitly weaker artifact that names each rig's substrate.
  • v3 line closed (GL-78); v4 supersedes the single-ecology gate chain that terminated when V2-3's transfer null cascaded into descoped downstream stages.

Experimental findings — what the lines now say

  • Appendix N chapter synthesis (sec:appn-chapter-synthesis): four paragraphs in chapter/WWCTV language stating what each experiment line supports, qualifies, or leaves unresolved for the book's claims — not experiment-line jargon.
  • ET-1 closed (GL-86): Orbit external-transfer line concluded; lockstep FSM aliasing identified as root cause (not superstep timing); pre-registration ET1-0 frozen. Finding: on a benchmark where every participant executes the same script, reporting them as one process is correct and tells us nothing about hidden coordination — directly testing ch07's finite-data recovery worry.
  • ET-2 on CIL (GL-87/88): first instrument runs on a system this project did not build. Passive UAD null on basin_stability at every mechanism × adversarial-fraction cell (GL-87). Handle-UAD pilot finds nonzero but diffuse cross-agent coupling via a shared common-pool resource (GL-88), named as the variable-smoothing case of recoverability theory (zarncke2026smoothing); the prescribed fix is a coarse-grained candidate test, not a better pairwise statistic.
  • Graded-lab v4 first scored rigs (GL-79–85): per-bridge pass / null / SKIP results now wired into ch07, ch16, ch33, ch34, ch41, ch42, and Appendix N — e.g. co-activity-present null (R-MB1), R-MB9 dual-arm pass with R-MB7d pair null, variation-operator harness sanity (R-MB6a), selectable Goodhart tension without proxy purchase (R-MB2), mid-band non-transfer after probe + growth (R-MB6b SKIP).
  • Site and ledgers aligned: **Key finding:** tags in all five experiment lines; auto-extracted headline bullets; curated /experiments/findings/{line}/ pages; experiment cards as primary destinations; negative-results card.

Companion site (site/)

  • Link-type indicators (PDF, GitHub, demo, external) standardized via LinkIndicator.astro across nav, cards, demos, Lean, experiments, and updates.
  • Concept card logos (41 minimalist SVGs) synced to public/concept-logos/ and rendered on card pages and indexes.
  • UX polish: standalone-claims hub card; nav order; viewport QR modal; Calendly on About; bot orientation and exposed /search-index/ for tools; ch07 plane-replay and ch35 percolation demos wired in; and many other small fixes.

Manuscript

  • Appendix M: religious-orders paragraph (Rost et al. Benedictine-abbey data, Cluny/Cîteaux, Jesuit suppression) and tacit-knowledge paragraph (Polanyi, Collins TEA laser, Burja).
  • Field agenda rederivation: ELK, debate, off-switch, quantilizer, amplification, Thornley dynamic choice, shutdown/interruptibility cores — finitely restated in bridge-crosswalk language.
  • Correction framing: "in the small" vs "in the large" named in ch25/ch26; catchy accessible leads on five glossary entries; and other smaller changes in the manuscript

Lean proof spine (formal/)

  • Evidence ladder (P1–P4): trace-calibrated risk-gap certification from finite episode profiles (P1); concrete frozen-validation battery gate without false deployment discharge (P2); spine satisfiability plus local bridge non-implication witnesses for MB1–MB11 (P3); Löbian tiling contrast — self-certifying successor acceptance obstructed, external measured audit path contrasted (P4, ch30 + Appendix G).
  • RiskGap as sole name for the numeric risk-gap quantity (Control − CCI); duplicate Risk-named theorems removed.
  • Appendix G integration: bridge-independence table, formal statement summaries for P4, axiom-ledger regenerated (38 headline theorems).

Housekeeping

  • Repo cleanup: stale generation chains retired; completed plans archived; regenerable binary outputs untracked; experiment READMEs restructured with self-contained intros and per-line CHANGELOG.md files; AGENTS.md erasure/cleanup guidance added.