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Refresh admin target vintages#326

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MaxGhenis merged 2 commits intomainfrom
codex/refresh-admin-targets
Apr 12, 2026
Merged

Refresh admin target vintages#326
MaxGhenis merged 2 commits intomainfrom
codex/refresh-admin-targets

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Summary

  • refresh OBR targets to the March 2026 EFO vintage
  • refresh the DWP benefit cap source to the November 2025 release and update the point-in-time capped-households target
  • refresh DWP two-child-limit references to the April 2025 publication
  • refresh the local UC-by-children split so it matches current GB-wide child-count totals instead of fixed November 2023 bucket totals

Notes

  • the local UC refresh keeps the last observed November 2023 country shares, but rescales them to the latest GB-wide 2025 UC household totals by children count; that is the cleanest update available from the public exports already in the repo
  • I left tax_benefit.csv alone here because the actual calibration target registry reads from targets/sources/*, not that storage file

Verification

  • pytest -q policyengine_uk_data/tests/test_target_registry.py policyengine_uk_data/tests/test_uc_by_children.py
  • ruff check policyengine_uk_data/targets/sources/obr.py policyengine_uk_data/targets/sources/dwp.py policyengine_uk_data/targets/sources/local_uc.py policyengine_uk_data/tests/test_target_registry.py policyengine_uk_data/tests/test_uc_by_children.py

@MaxGhenis MaxGhenis merged commit 79ea429 into main Apr 12, 2026
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@MaxGhenis MaxGhenis deleted the codex/refresh-admin-targets branch April 12, 2026 02:52
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