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Add provisional OACT long-run target source#670

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MaxGhenis wants to merge 1 commit intocodex/us-data-calibration-contractfrom
codex/us-data-oact-sources
Draft

Add provisional OACT long-run target source#670
MaxGhenis wants to merge 1 commit intocodex/us-data-calibration-contractfrom
codex/us-data-oact-sources

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Summary

  • add a builder for explicit long-term target source packages
  • add the provisional August 5, 2025 OACT source package and raw OASDI delta table
  • document and test the OACT source selection path on top of the calibration-contract PR

Notes

  • stacked on top of Add long-run calibration contracts #669
  • the HI series in oact_2025_08_05_provisional remains explicitly provisional (match_oasdi_pct_change) until a published annual HI replacement series is available

Testing

  • uv run pytest policyengine_us_data/tests/test_long_term_calibration_contract.py -q
  • python3 -m py_compile policyengine_us_data/datasets/cps/long_term/build_long_term_target_sources.py policyengine_us_data/datasets/cps/long_term/run_household_projection.py policyengine_us_data/tests/test_long_term_calibration_contract.py

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