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@arbitrageprophet arbitrageprophet released this 22 Dec 00:37
· 61 commits to main since this release
v1.3.1
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๐Ÿš€ PredictOS v1.3.1 Release Notes

Release Date: December 21, 2025

We're excited to announce PredictOS v1.3.1, featuring three powerful new capabilities for prediction market traders!

โœจ What's New

๐Ÿ”ฎ Polyfactual Deep Research Integration

We've integrated Polyfactual's Deep Research API into the Market Analysis feature. Ask any question about prediction markets, current events, or trading strategies and receive comprehensive AI-powered answers with full citations.

Features:

  • Natural language query interface with beautiful violet-themed UI
  • Real-time loading indicators with progress messages
  • Source citations with clickable links for verification
  • Powered by Polyfactual's advanced research infrastructure

Setup: Requires POLYFACTUAL_API_KEY in your supabase/.env.local โ€” contact Polyfactual to obtain an API key.

๐Ÿชœ Ladder Mode Arbitrage Bot (Community Contribution)

A major upgrade to our 15-Minute Up/Down Arbitrage Bot! Ladder Mode spreads your bankroll across multiple probability levels with exponentially tapered allocation โ€” heavy at the top, light at the bottom.

How It Works:

Price Level Allocation Fill Likelihood Profit if Filled
49% ~25% of bankroll Most likely ~2% profit
48% ~18% of bankroll Very likely ~4% profit
47% ~14% of bankroll Likely ~6% profit
... Tapers down ... ...
35% ~1% of bankroll Rare ~86% profit

Key Benefits:

  • Higher fill rates โ€” Top rungs (49%, 48%) fill frequently for steady, consistent gains
  • Larger upside โ€” Lower rungs occasionally fill for much higher profit margins
  • Better capital efficiency โ€” Exponential taper concentrates capital where fills are likely
  • Auto-adjusting rungs โ€” Automatically reduces ladder levels for smaller bankrolls to meet Polymarket's 5-share minimum

Configuration Options:

  • Top Price (49%, 48%, 47%)
  • Bottom Price (35%, 38%, 40%, 42%)
  • Taper Factor (1.0 gentle โ†’ 2.5 aggressive)
  • Total Bankroll ($50+ recommended for full 15-level ladder)

Community Credit:
Ladder Mode was contributed by Mining helium โ€” ๐• @mininghelium1 ยท GitHub @fciaf420
๐Ÿ“บ Demo Video

๐Ÿ‘๏ธ Real-Time Wallet Tracking

Monitor live order activity on any Polymarket wallet using Dome SDK's WebSocket API. Our implementation is 10+ seconds faster than leading hosted bots in the industry.

Features:

  • Real-time streaming of BUY/SELL orders as they happen
  • Displays shares, price, market info, and transaction hashes
  • Auto-reconnect on connection loss
  • Secure architecture โ€” API key stays server-side

Use Cases:

  • ๐Ÿ‹ Track whale wallets from the Polymarket leaderboard
  • ๐Ÿ“Š Research top trader strategies
  • ๐Ÿ‘€ Monitor your own positions in real-time
  • ๐Ÿ”” Foundation for upcoming copytrading feature

Architecture:
Runs entirely in the frontend via Next.js API route โ†’ Dome WebSocket โ†’ SSE streaming to browser. No Supabase Edge Functions required.

Setup: Requires DOME_API_KEY in your terminal/.env โ€” get one from dashboard.domeapi.io

๐Ÿ“‹ Summary

Feature Description
Polyfactual Research AI-powered Q&A with citations in Market Analysis
Ladder Mode Bot Multi-level tapered allocation for maximized arbitrage fill rates
Wallet Tracking Real-time Polymarket wallet order streaming (10s+ faster than competitors)

๐Ÿ™ Acknowledgments

Special thanks to:

  • Mining helium (@mininghelium1) for contributing Ladder Mode
  • Polyfactual for the Deep Research API integration
  • Dome API for powering our real-time WebSocket infrastructure

โฌ†๏ธ Upgrade Instructions

git pull origin main
cd terminal && npm installUpdate your environment files with any new required keys (see feature-specific setup guides in /docs/features/).

Built with โค๏ธ by the PredictionXBT team

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