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πŸš€ v2.4.0 - Arb Intel

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@arbitrageprophet arbitrageprophet released this 06 Jan 00:30
· 11 commits to main since this release
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πŸš€ PredictOS v2.4.0 Release Notes

βš–οΈ Arbitrage Intelligence

We're excited to introduce Arbitrage Intelligence β€” an AI-powered cross-platform arbitrage detection system that finds price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi prediction markets.

How It Works

  1. Paste any market URL from Polymarket or Kalshi
  2. AI generates optimal search terms from the event title
  3. Automatically searches the other platform for matching markets
  4. Compares prices and calculates arbitrage opportunities
  5. Provides actionable trading strategies with profit calculations

Key Features

  • Cross-Platform Detection β€” Automatically matches markets between Polymarket and Kalshi
  • AI-Powered Analysis β€” Uses Grok or OpenAI models to determine market equivalence with confidence scores
  • Actionable Strategies β€” Get specific buy YES/NO instructions with platform recommendations
  • Profit Calculations β€” See total cost, guaranteed payout, and net profit percentage
  • Risk Assessment β€” Understand potential risks before executing trades

Example Arbitrage

When the same event has different prices across platforms:

Platform YES Price NO Price
Polymarket 52% 48%
Kalshi 48% 52%

Strategy: Buy YES on Kalshi (48Β’) + Buy NO on Polymarket (48Β’) = 96Β’ cost β†’ $1.00 payout β†’ 4.2% guaranteed profit


πŸ”· DFlow API Integration

Arbitrage Intelligence uses DFlow for Kalshi market data access.

Production Endpoint

https://a.prediction-markets-api.dflow.net/api/v1

Getting Your API Key

  1. Visit DFlow Pond Documentation
  2. Contact DFlow on X/Twitter: @dflow
  3. Request API access for the Prediction Markets API
  4. Add your key to supabase/.env.local:

DFLOW_API_KEY=your_dflow_api_key### Features Powered by DFlow

  • Kalshi event data and market prices
  • Cross-platform search for arbitrage matching
  • Real-time YES/NO pricing for arbitrage calculations

πŸ“‹ Quick Start

  1. Add your DFlow API key to supabase/.env.local
  2. Add an AI provider key (XAI_API_KEY or OPENAI_API_KEY)
  3. Navigate to /arbitrage in the terminal
  4. Paste a Polymarket or Kalshi URL and click "Find Arb"

πŸ“– Documentation