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Cross-sectional multimodal evidence (Figure 3)

In Multimodal folder:

  • The R script "CogRes_Data.R" predicts cognition using CamCAN data on gray-matter, white-matter and fMRI connectivity, using data in "cog_res_data.csv".

SSM simulations (Figure 4)

In SSM folder:

  • The Matlab script "ssm_fit.m" fits a 2-state SSM to GM thickness and fluid intelligence in "data" folder

  • "fx_model2.m" and "gx_model2.m" in the "model2" folder specify the state and observation equations respectively

  • Other SPM12 functions needed are in the toolbox directory (see README.md there)

HMM simulations (Figure 5)

In HMM folder:

  • batch.py calls functions below for a small number of simulations+fits, eg to run within a Python interactive session

  • batch_parallel.py calls functions below across multiple cores, eg for big simulations. To run from terminal, you will need a python environment (eg "myenv") with numpy, scipy, time, os and sys libraries. Activate environment with eg "conda activate myenv", then "python3 batch_parallel.py"

  • hmm_simulate_data.py generates data with a certain proportion of participants having a certain number of "bursts" of decline (producing Figure 5A in grant proposal)

  • hmm_model_comparison.py fits HMMs with range of states (K), calling hmm_fit.py below (producing Figure 5B in grant proposal)

  • hmm_fit.py fits an HMM based on linear fits to one variable

  • plot_results.py produces Figure 5D in grant proposal

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Miscellaneous code/data for grant application

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