v1.0.0 — Prism

Stock Probability Engine v1.0.0

Research lab for multi-horizon equity P(up) and prediction cones.

Highlights

• Dynamic tickers via YAML/CLI (no hardcoded universe in core algorithms)
• Point-in-time multi-factor features + logistic probabilities
• Monte Carlo / GARCH cones with regime-aware width
• Walk-forward OOS vs base rate & momentum (Brier, coverage)
• Full lab: panel IDX vs US, spillover, tournament, twins, honesty, probability surface
• HTML reports + append-only prediction ledger

Quickstart

```bash
export PYTHONPATH=src
pip install -r requirements.txt
python scripts/run_demo.py --config configs/universe_idx_example.yaml
python scripts/run_full_lab.py --config configs/panel_core.yaml
```

Not financial advice — see CODE_OF_ETHICS.md.