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SplitWinner audit_trail — the official ledger

Every SplitWinner prediction is hashed into an immutable database ledger the moment it is made, and each day's ledger is sealed into a salted manifest, chained to the previous day, and timestamped into the Bitcoin blockchain via OpenTimestamps — before games settle. This repository is the public half of that system: the anchors, the proofs, and a single-file verifier anyone can run.

Receipts, never the recipe. The ledger proves when predictions existed and that they were never altered. It does not expose how they are made.

Verify it

git clone https://github.com/SplitWinner/audit_trail.git
cd audit_trail

python3 verify.py vectors                 # self-test against the golden vectors
python3 verify.py chain                   # walk the prev_anchor_hash links
python3 verify.py bitcoin                 # check Bitcoin attestations (needs `ots`)
python3 verify.py anchor --date …         # recompute a day (contract holders: rows + salt)
python3 verify.py content --predictions … # recompute per-row hashes from full rows

Modes vectors, chain, anchor, and content are pure standard library with no network access. bitcoin uses the pinned OpenTimestamps client (pip install -r requirements-bitcoin.txt); its online form is the binding check.

How it fits together

  • SPEC/ — the append-only registry: canonicalization rules, payload schemas, golden vectors, verifier releases. Start with SPEC/README.md.
  • METHODOLOGY.md — what is proven, what is not, and the daily protocol.
  • INTEGRITY.md — the invariants and how they are enforced.
  • OPERATIONS.md — the operational reality, including its limits.
  • incidents/ — the disclosure log. Anything that alters the meaning of this record is written down here within seven days of detection.

The record

This chain opens with its first official anchor — MLB first, other sports joining as their 2026 seasons begin. The system's public alpha (2026-05-19 → 2026-06-25, run under the product's previous name) is preserved verbatim and sealed at SplitWinner/audit_trail_alpha; its lessons are why this protocol looks the way it does. The gap between alpha and official is a stated fact, not a smoothed-over one.

About

The official SplitWinner prediction ledger — Bitcoin-anchored, independently verifiable. Alpha record sealed at audit_trail_alpha.

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