Scripts for the paper "The value of precipitation forecasts to anticipate floods"

This folder contains all scripts necessary to run and display the analysis as described in the paper "The value of precipitation forecasts to anticipate floods".

It contains 9 scripts, which are needed to

1. display the observations from E-OBS (stations.py)
2. Display and evaluate the Copernicus rainfall return period maps (return_periods_precip.py)
3. regrid the ECMWF forecasts (regrid.py)
4. merge the observations with the forecasts in one file (forecast_preproc.py)
5. calculate the Potential Economic Value per season (PEV.py)
6. merge the PEV over all seasons (merger_seasons.py)
7. process and display the EM-DAT impact data and accociated forecasts (impacts.py)
8. make the main plots (plots_revisions.py)
9. Background functions (func_Fval.py)

Download links to:

• The EFI and SOT forecasts: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/access-forecasts/access-archive-datasets

• The rainfall observations (E-OBS data): https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/datasets/insitu-gridded-observations-europe?tab=overview

• The Copernicus return period maps: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/datasets/sis-european-risk-extreme-precipitation-indicators?tab=overview

  Developed at the

  Institute for Environmental Studies
  Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Faculty of Science
  De Boelelaan 1111, 1081 HV Amsterdam

  please send any questions or requests to tim.busker@vu.nl