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[SPARK-10689] [ML] [Doc] User guide and example code for AFTSurvivalRegression #9491
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| --- | ||
| layout: global | ||
| title: Survival Regression - ML | ||
| displayTitle: <a href="ml-guide.html">ML</a> - Survival Regression | ||
| --- | ||
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| `\[ | ||
| \newcommand{\R}{\mathbb{R}} | ||
| \newcommand{\E}{\mathbb{E}} | ||
| \newcommand{\x}{\mathbf{x}} | ||
| \newcommand{\y}{\mathbf{y}} | ||
| \newcommand{\wv}{\mathbf{w}} | ||
| \newcommand{\av}{\mathbf{\alpha}} | ||
| \newcommand{\bv}{\mathbf{b}} | ||
| \newcommand{\N}{\mathbb{N}} | ||
| \newcommand{\id}{\mathbf{I}} | ||
| \newcommand{\ind}{\mathbf{1}} | ||
| \newcommand{\0}{\mathbf{0}} | ||
| \newcommand{\unit}{\mathbf{e}} | ||
| \newcommand{\one}{\mathbf{1}} | ||
| \newcommand{\zero}{\mathbf{0}} | ||
| \]` | ||
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| In `spark.ml`, we implement the [Accelerated failure time (AFT)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accelerated_failure_time_model) | ||
| model which is a parametric survival regression model for censored data. | ||
| It describes a model for the log of survival time, so it's often called | ||
| log-linear model for survival analysis. Different from | ||
| [Proportional hazards](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proportional_hazards_model) model | ||
| designed for the same purpose, the AFT model is more easily to parallelize | ||
| because each instance contribute to the objective function independently. | ||
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| Given the values of the covariates $x^{'}$, for random lifetime $t_{i}$ of | ||
| subjects i = 1, ..., n, with possible right-censoring, | ||
| the likelihood function under the AFT model is given as: | ||
| `\[ | ||
| L(\beta,\sigma)=\prod_{i=1}^n[\frac{1}{\sigma}f_{0}(\frac{\log{t_{i}}-x^{'}\beta}{\sigma})]^{\delta_{i}}S_{0}(\frac{\log{t_{i}}-x^{'}\beta}{\sigma})^{1-\delta_{i}} | ||
| \]` | ||
| Where $\delta_{i}$ is the indicator of the event has occurred i.e. uncensored or not. | ||
| Using $\epsilon_{i}=\frac{\log{t_{i}}-x^{'}\beta}{\sigma}$, the log-likelihood function | ||
| assumes the form: | ||
| `\[ | ||
| \iota(\beta,\sigma)=\sum_{i=1}^{n}[-\delta_{i}\log\sigma+\delta_{i}\log{f_{0}}(\epsilon_{i})+(1-\delta_{i})\log{S_{0}(\epsilon_{i})}] | ||
| \]` | ||
| Where $S_{0}(\epsilon_{i})$ is the baseline survivor function, | ||
| and $f_{0}(\epsilon_{i})$ is corresponding density function. | ||
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| The most commonly used AFT model is based on the Weibull distribution of the survival time. | ||
| The Weibull distribution for lifetime corresponding to extreme value distribution for | ||
| log of the lifetime, and the $S_{0}(\epsilon)$ function is: | ||
| `\[ | ||
| S_{0}(\epsilon_{i})=\exp(-e^{\epsilon_{i}}) | ||
| \]` | ||
| the $f_{0}(\epsilon_{i})$ function is: | ||
| `\[ | ||
| f_{0}(\epsilon_{i})=e^{\epsilon_{i}}\exp(-e^{\epsilon_{i}}) | ||
| \]` | ||
| The log-likelihood function for AFT model with Weibull distribution of lifetime is: | ||
| `\[ | ||
| \iota(\beta,\sigma)= -\sum_{i=1}^n[\delta_{i}\log\sigma-\delta_{i}\epsilon_{i}+e^{\epsilon_{i}}] | ||
| \]` | ||
| Due to minimizing the negative log-likelihood equivalent to maximum a posteriori probability, | ||
| the loss function we use to optimize is $-\iota(\beta,\sigma)$. | ||
| The gradient functions for $\beta$ and $\log\sigma$ respectively are: | ||
| `\[ | ||
| \frac{\partial (-\iota)}{\partial \beta}=\sum_{1=1}^{n}[\delta_{i}-e^{\epsilon_{i}}]\frac{x_{i}}{\sigma} | ||
| \]` | ||
| `\[ | ||
| \frac{\partial (-\iota)}{\partial (\log\sigma)}=\sum_{i=1}^{n}[\delta_{i}+(\delta_{i}-e^{\epsilon_{i}})\epsilon_{i}] | ||
| \]` | ||
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| The AFT model can be formulated as a convex optimization problem, | ||
| i.e. the task of finding a minimizer of a convex function $-\iota(\beta,\sigma)$ | ||
| that depends coefficients vector $\beta$ and the log of scale parameter $\log\sigma$. | ||
| The optimization algorithm underlying the implementation is L-BFGS. | ||
| The implementation matches the result from R's survival function | ||
| [survreg](https://stat.ethz.ch/R-manual/R-devel/library/survival/html/survreg.html) | ||
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| ## Example: | ||
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| <div class="codetabs"> | ||
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| <div data-lang="scala" markdown="1"> | ||
| {% include_example scala/org/apache/spark/examples/ml/AFTSurvivalRegressionExample.scala %} | ||
| </div> | ||
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| <div data-lang="java" markdown="1"> | ||
| {% include_example java/org/apache/spark/examples/ml/JavaAFTSurvivalRegressionExample.java %} | ||
| </div> | ||
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| <div data-lang="python" markdown="1"> | ||
| {% include_example python/ml/aft_survival_regression.py %} | ||
| </div> | ||
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| </div> |
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examples/src/main/java/org/apache/spark/examples/ml/JavaAFTSurvivalRegressionExample.java
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| /* | ||
| * Licensed to the Apache Software Foundation (ASF) under one or more | ||
| * contributor license agreements. See the NOTICE file distributed with | ||
| * this work for additional information regarding copyright ownership. | ||
| * The ASF licenses this file to You under the Apache License, Version 2.0 | ||
| * (the "License"); you may not use this file except in compliance with | ||
| * the License. You may obtain a copy of the License at | ||
| * | ||
| * http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0 | ||
| * | ||
| * Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software | ||
| * distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS, | ||
| * WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied. | ||
| * See the License for the specific language governing permissions and | ||
| * limitations under the License. | ||
| */ | ||
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| package org.apache.spark.examples.ml; | ||
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| // $example on$ | ||
| import java.util.Arrays; | ||
| import java.util.List; | ||
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| import org.apache.spark.SparkConf; | ||
| import org.apache.spark.api.java.JavaSparkContext; | ||
| import org.apache.spark.ml.regression.AFTSurvivalRegression; | ||
| import org.apache.spark.ml.regression.AFTSurvivalRegressionModel; | ||
| import org.apache.spark.mllib.linalg.*; | ||
| import org.apache.spark.sql.DataFrame; | ||
| import org.apache.spark.sql.Row; | ||
| import org.apache.spark.sql.RowFactory; | ||
| import org.apache.spark.sql.SQLContext; | ||
| import org.apache.spark.sql.types.*; | ||
| // $example off$ | ||
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| public class JavaAFTSurvivalRegressionExample { | ||
| public static void main(String[] args) { | ||
| SparkConf conf = new SparkConf().setAppName("JavaAFTSurvivalRegressionExample"); | ||
| JavaSparkContext jsc = new JavaSparkContext(conf); | ||
| SQLContext jsql = new SQLContext(jsc); | ||
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| // $example on$ | ||
| List<Row> data = Arrays.asList( | ||
| RowFactory.create(1.218, 1.0, Vectors.dense(1.560, -0.605)), | ||
| RowFactory.create(2.949, 0.0, Vectors.dense(0.346, 2.158)), | ||
| RowFactory.create(3.627, 0.0, Vectors.dense(1.380, 0.231)), | ||
| RowFactory.create(0.273, 1.0, Vectors.dense(0.520, 1.151)), | ||
| RowFactory.create(4.199, 0.0, Vectors.dense(0.795, -0.226)) | ||
| ); | ||
| StructType schema = new StructType(new StructField[]{ | ||
| new StructField("label", DataTypes.DoubleType, false, Metadata.empty()), | ||
| new StructField("censor", DataTypes.DoubleType, false, Metadata.empty()), | ||
| new StructField("features", new VectorUDT(), false, Metadata.empty()) | ||
| }); | ||
| DataFrame training = jsql.createDataFrame(data, schema); | ||
| double[] quantileProbabilities = new double[]{0.3, 0.6}; | ||
| AFTSurvivalRegression aft = new AFTSurvivalRegression() | ||
| .setQuantileProbabilities(quantileProbabilities) | ||
| .setQuantilesCol("quantiles"); | ||
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| AFTSurvivalRegressionModel model = aft.fit(training); | ||
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| // Print the coefficients, intercept and scale parameter for AFT survival regression | ||
| System.out.println("Coefficients: " + model.coefficients() + " Intercept: " | ||
| + model.intercept() + " Scale: " + model.scale()); | ||
| model.transform(training).show(false); | ||
| // $example off$ | ||
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| jsc.stop(); | ||
| } | ||
| } |
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| # | ||
| # Licensed to the Apache Software Foundation (ASF) under one or more | ||
| # contributor license agreements. See the NOTICE file distributed with | ||
| # this work for additional information regarding copyright ownership. | ||
| # The ASF licenses this file to You under the Apache License, Version 2.0 | ||
| # (the "License"); you may not use this file except in compliance with | ||
| # the License. You may obtain a copy of the License at | ||
| # | ||
| # http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0 | ||
| # | ||
| # Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software | ||
| # distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS, | ||
| # WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied. | ||
| # See the License for the specific language governing permissions and | ||
| # limitations under the License. | ||
| # | ||
|
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| from __future__ import print_function | ||
|
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| from pyspark import SparkContext | ||
| from pyspark.sql import SQLContext | ||
| # $example on$ | ||
| from pyspark.ml.regression import AFTSurvivalRegression | ||
| from pyspark.mllib.linalg import Vectors | ||
| # $example off$ | ||
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| if __name__ == "__main__": | ||
| sc = SparkContext(appName="AFTSurvivalRegressionExample") | ||
| sqlContext = SQLContext(sc) | ||
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| # $example on$ | ||
| training = sqlContext.createDataFrame([ | ||
| (1.218, 1.0, Vectors.dense(1.560, -0.605)), | ||
| (2.949, 0.0, Vectors.dense(0.346, 2.158)), | ||
| (3.627, 0.0, Vectors.dense(1.380, 0.231)), | ||
| (0.273, 1.0, Vectors.dense(0.520, 1.151)), | ||
| (4.199, 0.0, Vectors.dense(0.795, -0.226))], ["label", "censor", "features"]) | ||
| quantileProbabilities = [0.3, 0.6] | ||
| aft = AFTSurvivalRegression(quantileProbabilities=quantileProbabilities, | ||
| quantilesCol="quantiles") | ||
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| model = aft.fit(training) | ||
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| # Print the coefficients, intercept and scale parameter for AFT survival regression | ||
| print("Coefficients: " + str(model.coefficients)) | ||
| print("Intercept: " + str(model.intercept)) | ||
| print("Scale: " + str(model.scale)) | ||
| model.transform(training).show(truncate=False) | ||
| # $example off$ | ||
|
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| sc.stop() |
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examples/src/main/scala/org/apache/spark/examples/ml/AFTSurvivalRegressionExample.scala
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| /* | ||
| * Licensed to the Apache Software Foundation (ASF) under one or more | ||
| * contributor license agreements. See the NOTICE file distributed with | ||
| * this work for additional information regarding copyright ownership. | ||
| * The ASF licenses this file to You under the Apache License, Version 2.0 | ||
| * (the "License"); you may not use this file except in compliance with | ||
| * the License. You may obtain a copy of the License at | ||
| * | ||
| * http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0 | ||
| * | ||
| * Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software | ||
| * distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS, | ||
| * WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied. | ||
| * See the License for the specific language governing permissions and | ||
| * limitations under the License. | ||
| */ | ||
|
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| // scalastyle:off println | ||
| package org.apache.spark.examples.ml | ||
|
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| import org.apache.spark.sql.SQLContext | ||
| import org.apache.spark.{SparkContext, SparkConf} | ||
| // $example on$ | ||
| import org.apache.spark.ml.regression.AFTSurvivalRegression | ||
| import org.apache.spark.mllib.linalg.Vectors | ||
| // $example off$ | ||
|
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| /** | ||
| * An example for AFTSurvivalRegression. | ||
| */ | ||
| object AFTSurvivalRegressionExample { | ||
|
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| def main(args: Array[String]): Unit = { | ||
| val conf = new SparkConf().setAppName("AFTSurvivalRegressionExample") | ||
| val sc = new SparkContext(conf) | ||
| val sqlContext = new SQLContext(sc) | ||
|
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| // $example on$ | ||
| val training = sqlContext.createDataFrame(Seq( | ||
| (1.218, 1.0, Vectors.dense(1.560, -0.605)), | ||
| (2.949, 0.0, Vectors.dense(0.346, 2.158)), | ||
| (3.627, 0.0, Vectors.dense(1.380, 0.231)), | ||
| (0.273, 1.0, Vectors.dense(0.520, 1.151)), | ||
| (4.199, 0.0, Vectors.dense(0.795, -0.226)) | ||
| )).toDF("label", "censor", "features") | ||
| val quantileProbabilities = Array(0.3, 0.6) | ||
| val aft = new AFTSurvivalRegression() | ||
| .setQuantileProbabilities(quantileProbabilities) | ||
| .setQuantilesCol("quantiles") | ||
|
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| val model = aft.fit(training) | ||
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| // Print the coefficients, intercept and scale parameter for AFT survival regression | ||
| println(s"Coefficients: ${model.coefficients} Intercept: " + | ||
| s"${model.intercept} Scale: ${model.scale}") | ||
| model.transform(training).show(false) | ||
| // $example off$ | ||
|
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| sc.stop() | ||
| } | ||
| } | ||
| // scalastyle:off println |
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Just temporary link, I think we should reorg Linear models include LiR, LoR, AFT and other methods after we support most of Generalized Linear Models.