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Bardtke and barto least squares temporal difference learning (lstd)

sameerg edited this page May 29, 2011 · 1 revision

Excerpted from: Boyan, Justin. Learning Evaluation Functions for Global Optimization. Ph.D. thesis, Carnegie Mellon University, August 1998. (Available as Technical Report CMU-CS-98-152.)

 **Least-Squares Temporal Difference Learning**

      > *            is a popular family of algorithms for approximate policy evalua-
  •         tion in large MDPs. TD           works by incrementally updating the value
    
  •         function after each observed transition. It has two major drawbacks: it
    
  •         makes inefficient use of data, and it requires the user to manually tune
    
  •         a stepsize schedule for good performance. For the case of linear value
    
  •                                                   , the Least-Squares TD (LSTD) al-
    
  •         function approximations and
    
  •         gorithm of Bradtke and Barto [5] eliminates all stepsize parameters and
    
  •         improves data efficiency.
    
  •         This paper extends Bradtke and Barto’s work in three significant ways.
    
  •         First, it presents a simpler derivation of the LSTD algorithm. Second, it
    
  •         generalizes from            to arbitrary values of ; at the extreme of
    
  •         the resulting algorithm is shown to be a practical formulation of super-
    
  •         vised linear regression. Third, it presents a novel, intuitive interpretation
    
  •         of LSTD as a model-based reinforcement learning technique.
    
  •                                                                                              1    BACKGROUND
    
  •                                                                                              This paper addresses the problem of approximating the value function
    
  •                                                                                                in a large Markov decision process [2, 13]. This is an important subproblem of several
    
  •                                                                                              algorithms for sequential decision making, including policy iteration [2] and STAGE [4].
    
  •                                                                                                      simply predicts the expected long-term sum of future rewards obtained when the
    
  •                                                                                              process starts in state and follows policy until termination. This function is well-defined
    
  •                                                                                              as long as is proper, i.e., guaranteed to terminate.1
    
  • For small Markov chains whose transition probabilities are all explicitly known, computing
  •   is a trivial matter of solving a system of linear equations. However, in many practical
    
  • applications, the transition probabilities of the chain are available only implicitly—either in
  • the form of a simulation model or in the form of an agent’s actual experience executing in
  • its environment. In either case, we must compute
  •  ) solely from a collection of trajectories sampled from the chain. This is where the
    
  • TD family of algorithms applies.
  • [2, 13]. For each state on each observed trajectory, TD
  • efficients of
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  •                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Justin A. Boyan
    
  •                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                CMU Computer Science Department
    
  •                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Pittsburgh, PA 15213
    
  •                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     jab@cs.cmu.edu
    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         **Abstract**

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           > * TD
  •                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            ,
    
  •                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     of a fixed policy
    
  •                                                                                                                                                                                                   TD  was introduced in [10]; excellent summaries may now be found in several books
    
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  •                                                           or an approximation thereof (denoted
    
  •                   toward new target values. The target values depend on the parameter
    
  •          . At        , the target at each visited state is the “Monte-Carlo return,” i.e., the
    
  •                                may be made well-defined by the use of a discount factor that expo-
    
  • sition, the algorithm computes the scalar one-step TD error
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  •                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         mapping states to feature vectors, END
    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Table 1: Ordinary TD
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 a sequence of stepsizes                                                                        for incremental coefficient updating.
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                                                                                                                                                actual observed sum of future rewards
                                                                                                                                                of     , but may have significant variance since it depends on a long stochastic sequence of
                                                                                                                                                rewards. At the other extreme,
                                                                                                                                                head:                        . This value has lower variance—the only random component is
                                                                                                                                                a single state transition—but is biased by the potential inaccuracy of the lookahead estimate
                                                                                                                                                       . The parameter trades off between bias and variance. Empirically, intermediate
                                                                                                                                                of
                                                                                                                                                values of seem to perform best [10, 13].
                                                                                                                                                TD       provably converges to a good approximation of                              when linear architectures are
                                                                                                                                                used, assuming a suitable decreasing schedule of stepsizes for the incremental weight up-
                                                                                                                                                dates [14]. Linear architectures—which include lookup tables, state aggregation meth-
                                                                                                                                                ods, CMACs, radial basis function networks with fixed bases, and multi-dimensional poly-
                                                                                                                                                nomial regression—approximate                                   by first mapping the state to a feature vector
                                                                                                                                                               , and then computing a linear combination of those features,
                                                                                                                                                ble 1 gives a convenient form of TD                             that exploits this representation. On each tran-
                                                                                                                                                and apportions that error among all state features according to their respective eligibilities
                                                                                                                                                   . The eligibility vector may be seen as an algebraic trick by which TD
                                                                                                                                                rewards backward over the current trajectory without having to remember the trajectory
                                                                                                                                                                         , where is the time at which the current trajectory started.
                                                                                                                                                      Given: a simulation model for a proper policy in MDP ;
                                                                                                                                                      Output: a coefficient vector for which
                                                                                                                                                  Set
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                                                                                                                                                                                                      converge? Examining the update rule for in Table 1, it is
                                                                                                                                                                                           END have the form
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explicitly. Each feature’s eligibility at time depends on the trajectory’s history and on : not difficult to see that the coefficient changes made by TD trajectories through the Markov chain. It is shown in [2] that is negative definite and that the noise has sufficiently small variance, which together with the stepsize conditions mentioned above, imply that converges to a fixed point satisfying effect, TD solves this system of equations by performing stochastic gradient descent on a potential function . It never explicitly represents or . The changes to depend only on the most recent trajectory, and after those changes are made, the trajectory and its rewards are simply forgotten. This approach, while requiring little computation per iteration, wastes data and may require sampling many trajectories to reach convergence. One technique for using data more efficiently is “experience replay” [6]: explicitly remem- ber all trajectories ever seen, and whenever asked to produce an updated set of coefficients, perform repeated passes of TD plicit estimates of the matrix and vector (actually, estimates of a constant multiple of . Set . while END, do: § £
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# § § ¥ @ # ¥ ¦4 b ( ¥@ ' £
¥ £4 ¦¤) ¥ £ ¡a4 ' ¡ ¥ @ ¦¤4 4 4 ' ¡ § ¥@ § 4 ¢ 4 ¥@ T¥ U4 ¥ 4 @ ¥ ( @ is an unbiased estimate of . Thus, can be estimated as § P # s % P ¥ 4 6 2 ¥ 1x 4 2 THE LEAST-SQUARES TD that TD does. However, instead of performing gradient descent, LSTD q s £ ¡ ¤¢ t 0. In over all the saved trajectories until convergence. This ALGORITHM algorithm, or LSTD , converges to the same coefficients builds ex- and ), and then solves 0 directly. The actual data structures that LSTD builds from experience are the matrix (of dimension , where is the number of (2) , and . I use Singular Value Decomposition to invert robustly [8]. The complete LSTD algorithm is specified in Table 2. LSTD for approximate policy evaluation: Given: a simulation model, featurizer, and as in ordinary TD ; no stepsizes necessary. Output: a coefficient vector for which . Set P 0 0 . £ 7 ¤ P s do: for b Choose a start state and next state . /* outer product / . / Use SVD. */ § £ ¡ ¤¢ has dimension . £ ¡ ¤¢ § When , LSTD reduces precisely to Bradtke and Barto’s LSTD algorithm, which , LSTD £ ¢ § ¥ ¡ ' ( ¡ ' ¡ ' £ )
4 R F F F Q G( "( @ § ( ( ¥ ¥@ @ 1 produces the same and that would be £ 3 % 4 ¥ £ ¦¤4 R 9 4 ¥ # ¡ q 6 2 § ' ¥ ' 1x 1 1 4 ̈ ̈ © §

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          The Least-Squares TD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            (compare Table 1). Note that
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                , and , , , and all have dimension
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         
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                                                                                                                                                                 technique is similar to the batch training methods commonly used to train neural networks.
                                                                                                                                                                 However, in the case of linear function approximators, there is another way.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   features) and the vector (of dimension ):
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Whenever updated coefficients are desired: Set
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Table 2: A least-squares version of TD
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    they derived using a different approach based on regression with instrumental variables [5].
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    At the other extreme, when
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                                                                                       After independent trajectories have been observed, is an unbiased estimate of
      Simulate one step of the chain, producing a reward
      Set                                      .
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                                                                                                                                                                   produced by supervised linear regression on training pairs of state features
                                                                                                                                                                   Monte-Carlo returns (see [3] for proof). Thanks to the algebraic trick of the eligibility vec-
                                                                                                                                                                   tors, LSTD      builds the regression matrices fully incrementally—without having to store
                                                                                                                                                                   the trajectory while waiting to observe the eventual outcome. When trajectories through
                                                                                                                                                                   the chain are long, this provides significant memory savings over linear regression.
                                                                                                                                                                   The computation per timestep required to update          and is the same as least-squares
                                                                                                                                                                   linear regression:         , where     is the number of features. LSTD                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             must also per-
                                                                                                                                                                   form a matrix inversion at a cost of          whenever ’s coefficients are needed—in the
                                                                                                                                                                   case of STAGE, once per complete trajectory. (If updated coefficients are required more
                                                                                                                                                                                                cost can be avoided by recursive least-squares [5] or Kalman-
                                                                                                                                                                   frequently, then the
                                                                                                                                                                   LSTD       is more computationally expensive than incremental TD , which updates the
                                                                                                                                                                   coefficients using only         computation per timestep. However, LSTD                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              offers several
                                                                                                                                                                   advantages, as pointed out by Bradtke and Barto in their discussion of LSTD                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             [5]:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Least-squares algorithms are “more efficient estimators in the statistical sense”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 because “they extract more information from each additional observation.”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 TD ’s convergence can be slowed dramatically by a poor choice of the stepsize
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 parameters . LSTD                                                                                                                                     eliminates these parameters.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    TD ’s performance is sensitive to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    the initial estimate for . LSTD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           TD     is also sensitive to the ranges of the individual features. LSTD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          in terms of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            and model-based reinforcement learning. To begin, let us
                                                                                   restrict our attention to the case of a small discrete state space , over which
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        from simulated trajectory data would proceed as follows:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1. From the state transitions and rewards observed so far, build in memory an empirical
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  model of the Markov chain. The sufficient statistics of this model are as follows:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    A matrix recording the observed state-transition counts:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       was seen to directly follow .
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    A vector recording the sum of all observed one-step rewards from each state.                                                                                                                                                                                      8
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        AS MODEL-BASED REINFORCEMENT LEARNING
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2. Whenever a new estimate of the value function
                                                                                                                                                                   Bellman equations corresponding to the current empirical model. Writing
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            diag ,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  (3)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 This model-based technique contrasts with TD , a model-free approach to the same prob-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 lem. TD      does not maintain any statistics on observed transitions and rewards; it simply
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          with LSTD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              is desired, solve the linear system of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   values is given by
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 both converge to the optimal                                              . The advantage of TD      is its low computational bur-
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        data efficiency.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             LSTD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Before giving experimental results with LSTD , I would like to point out an interesting
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        connection between LSTD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        represented and learned exactly by a lookup table. A classical model-based algorithm for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        learning
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 A vector recording the number of times each state has been visited.
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Section 4 below presents experimental results comparing TD
                                                                                                                                                                   den per step; the advantage of the classical model-based method is that it makes the most
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filtering techniques [2, 3.2.2], which update on each timestep at a cost of only updates the components of directly. In the limit, assuming a lookup-table representation, of the available training data. The empirical advantages of model-based and model-free reinforcement learning methods have been investigated in, e.g., [11, 7, 1]. fit in? Let us first consider the case of Where does LSTD means that we have one independent feature per state: the feature vector corresponding to state 1 is to state 2 is £ ¥ ¥ ¦4 ! ©£ ¦4 £ ! ̈ © £ £
s % ¥ ¦4 ̈ © r% £ £
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on the element performs the inversion Thus, when effectively record a model of all the observed transitions. What about when ? Again, and record the sufficient statistics of an empirical Markov model—but in this case, the model being captured is one backup op- erations. That is, the model links each state to all the downstream states that follow on according The lookup-table representation for £ ¤¢ £ !¡
£ ¤¢ " £ ¡ ¤¢ § § ¡ § ¡ ¢ § ¥ @ # ¥ 4 4 ̈ ¥ @ ¡ ( § 0)¢ . In this case, perhaps ; corresponding 4 £ !¡
(4) . , the TD backups correspond to the one-step transitions, , , we can view the LSTD algorithm as doing these two steps: would perform on the data. is intractable in practical problems; in practice, LSTD £ as implicitly building a compressed version and summed-reward vector : (5) £ ¡ ¤¢ , the and matrices built by LSTD to TD . In the case of resulting in the equivalence described above. The opposite extreme, the case of is also interesting: the empirical Markov model corresponding to TD ’s backups is the operates on states only via their (linearly dependent) feature representations ¥ $¡ ¥ whose single-step transition probabilities directly encode the multi-step TD £ !¡
compressed empirical model, LSTD

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             would be equivalent to the empirical optimal coefficients
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               . The empirical optimal coefficients are those that would be found by building the full
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            uncompressed empirical model (represented by
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                                                                                 ¡                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      §                                                                                                                                                                           does in the classical technique.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      each observed transition gives
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                                                                                 ©                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            , meanwhile, accumulates the statistics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ; and all the rest zeroes. Summing one such sparse matrix for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     . Finally, LSTD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   , giving the same solution as in Equation 3.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       chain where each state leads directly to absorption, and then simply computes the aver-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       age Monte-Carlo return at each state. In short, if we assume a lookup-table representation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       for the function
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           ̈9 §  matrix representation of the function                   . From the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                computes the following coefficients for       :
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                and ), using a lookup table to solve
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             , and then performing a least-squares
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Clearly, the role of is to sum all the rewards observed at each state, exactly as the vector
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    To see this, note that the outer product in Eq. 4 is a matrix consisting of an entry of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    on the single diagonal element corresponding to state ; an entry of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    in row , column
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ideally, these coefficients
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            for that model’s value function
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            linear fit from the state features to the lookup-table value function:
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                                                                                                                                                                                  ; etc. LSTD       performs the following operations upon each
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         ̈                                                     (7)
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                                                                                                                                                          1. It implicitly uses the observed simulation data to build a Markov chain. This chain
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of the empirical model’s transition matrix £ F § ¡ �¢ e 6 £ 3 e ̈¥ § ¡ ( ¡ Q % ¤¢U5 This section reports experimental results comparing TD and LSTD chain illustrated in Figure 1. The chain consists of 13 states, and we seek to represent its value function compactly as a linear function of four state features as shown. In fact, this domain has been contrived so that the optimal function is exactly linear in these features: the optimal coefficients are . This condition guarantees that will converge with probability 1 to the optimal for any setting of . -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 START 11 10 3 2 12 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 [1/2, 1/2, 0, 0] [1, 0, 0, 0] [0, 0, 1/2, 1/2] [0, 0, 3/4, 1/4] [3/4, 1/4, 0, 0] Figure 1: A simple Markov chain. Each state is represented by four features as shown. is also guaranteed convergence to the optimal , under the additional condition TD that an appropriate schedule of stepsizes is chosen. I ran each TD , where determines the initial stepsize, and determines how gradually the stepsize decreases lambda = 0.4 1 TD: a0=0.1, n0=10^6 TD: a0=0.1, n0=10^3 TD: a0=0.1, n0=10^2 0.8 TD: a0=0.01, n0=10^6 RMS error of Vpi over all states on the Markov £ !¡

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4 EXPERIMENTAL COMPARISON OF TD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   -3.0
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    [0, 0, 1/4, 3/4]
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              experiment with
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                TD: a0=0.01, n0=10^2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Least-Squares TD
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0.6
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           learns a good approximation to        in fewer trials than any
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                                                                                                                                                              these results may not be representative of how TD
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incremental methods may have better real-time performance than least-squares methods 0.01 Figure 3: Summary of results at six settings of . At each setting, seven algorithms are compared: TD (with six different stepsize schedules) and LSTD . The plotted seg- ment shows the mean RMS value function approximation error after 100 trajectories (top of segment) and 10,000 trajectories (bottom of segment). Note the log scale on the -axis. LSTD is best in all cases. LSTD has been successfully applied in the context of STAGE, a reinforcement-learning algorithm for combinatorial optimization [3]. An exciting possibility for future work is to apply LSTD problems. LSTD optimistic policy iteration [2]. Acknowledgments: Thanks to Andrew Moore and Jeff Schneider for helpful comments. References [1] C. G. Atkeson and J. C. Santamaria. A comparison of direct and model-based reinforcement learning. In International Conference on Robotics and Automation, 1997. ¢ £¡ £ !¡ £ ¡ ¤¢ £ !¡

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Least-Squares TD
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                                                                                                                                                                                        [12]. On the other hand, some reinforcement-learning applications have been successful
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[2] D. Bertsekas and J. Tsitsiklis. Neuro-Dynamic Programming. Athena Scientific, Belmont, MA, 1996. [3] J. A. Boyan. Learning Evaluation Functions for Global Optimization. PhD thesis, Carnegie Mellon University, 1998. [4] J. A. Boyan and A. W. Moore. Learning evaluation functions for global optimization and Boolean satisfiability. In Proceed- ings of the Fifteenth National Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI), 1998. [5] S. J. Bradtke and A. G. Barto. Linear least-squares algorithms for temporal difference learning. Machine Learning, 22(1/2/3):33–57, 1996. [6] L.-J. Lin. Reinforcement Learning for Robots Using Neural Networks. PhD thesis, Carnegie Mellon University, 1993. [7] A. W. Moore and C. G. Atkeson. Prioritized sweeping: Reinforcement learning with less data and less time. Machine Learning, 13:103–130, 1993. [8] W.H. Press, S.A. Teukolsky, W.T. Vetterling, and B.P. Flannery. Numerical Recipes in C: The Art of Scientific Computing. Cambridge University Press, second edition, 1992. [9] S. Singh and D. Bertsekas. Reinforcement learning for dynamic channel allocation in cellular telephone systems. In M. C. Mozer, M. I. Jordan, and T. Petsche, editors, NIPS-9, page 974. The MIT Press, 1997. [10] R. S. Sutton. Learning to predict by the methods of temporal differences. Machine Learning, 3, 1988. [11] R. S. Sutton. Integrated architectures for learning, planning, and reacting based on approximating dynamic programming. In Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on Machine Learning. Morgan Kaufmann, 1990. [12] R. S. Sutton. Gain adaptation beats least squares. In Proceedings of the 7 Yale Workshop on Adaptive and Learning Systems, pages 161–166, 1992. [13] R. S. Sutton and A. G. Barto. Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction. MIT Press, 1998. [14] J. N. Tsitsiklis and B. Van Roy. An analysis of temporal-difference learning with function approximation. Technical Report LIDS-P-2322, MIT, 1996. 7

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