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Experiment: multi-round cascade dynamics (does adoption grow over rounds?) #130

Description

@sebasmos

Context

Contagion may not be a single-shot event: adoption could build over deliberation rounds. Once the redesigned cascade (#115/#117) produces non-trivial adoption, we want the per-round trajectory, not just the final rate.

What to build

Extend the cascade analysis to report adoption as a function of round index (shared vs isolated), and a simple test for a monotone increase. Reuse the saved transcripts.

Acceptance

  • Per-round adoption curves for a small set, shared vs isolated.
  • Unit test on a hand-built transcript where adoption is known to grow.

Analysis over transcripts; composes with #115/#117. No data or key needed to test.

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    analysisMetrics, stats, visualization of resultsdifficulty: intermediateTouches one subsystem; some context neededexperimentExperiment runner / study designpriority: mediumValuable, not on the critical path

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