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Run the cascade experiment on real data + report onset #96

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@sebasmos

Run experiments.run_cascade (shared vs isolated, peer- and orchestrator-seeded) on real cases + models, compute cascade onset and contagion, and report the first leader-vs-peer contagion comparison.

Status: the harness is ready; this task runs it on real data / models (the contributor step).

Model backend. Agents use the Gemini API for now behind one gateway; extensible to other model APIs later. No fine-tuning.

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    difficulty: intermediateTouches one subsystem; some context neededexperimentExperiment runner / study designpriority: mediumValuable, not on the critical path

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