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What a TreeScan signal means

BeckyW edited this page Jun 3, 2026 · 1 revision

What a TreeScan Signal Means

Signals Represent Statistical Anomalies

A TreeScan signal indicates that the number of observed diagnoses in a particular diagnosis group and time window is higher than expected based on recent data patterns.

Signals therefore represent statistical anomalies, not confirmed outbreaks.

They serve as starting points for further investigation.


Most Signals Do Not Represent Public Health Events

In practice, many signals arise for reasons unrelated to emerging health threats.

Common causes of signals include:

  • changes in clinical coding practices
  • data reporting delays
  • local spikes at a single facility
  • seasonal fluctuations
  • random variation

Interpreting signals therefore requires contextual knowledge and additional data review.


Interpreting Signals

When a signal is detected, analysts typically review additional information to determine whether the signal warrants further attention.

Common steps include:

  • examining temporal graphs of diagnoses over time
  • reviewing visit-level linelists
  • checking whether the signal is concentrated at a single facility
  • examining related diagnoses and chief complaints
  • comparing the signal with historical patterns

These steps help determine whether the signal represents a plausible public health concern or a benign artifact.


TreeScan Supports, But Does Not Replace, Public Health Expertise

TreeScan is designed to support surveillance workflows, not replace human judgment.

The method identifies unusual statistical patterns, but interpretation requires expertise in:

  • epidemiology
  • clinical practice
  • healthcare data systems
  • local public health context

TreeScan signals therefore function as alerts that guide further review, rather than definitive conclusions.

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