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Research preprint v1.1.0

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@jackchenx3 jackchenx3 released this 24 Sep 04:32

Research preprint v1.1.0

Adds the crossed preparation/future-recurrence comparison (056) and its prospectively specified independent cohort (057) to the existing private-memory manuscript. This is a revision of the same paper, not a second paper or independent software implementation.

The fixed future-recurrence direction reproduces: +22.76 [17.12, 28.95] percentage points in the reused cohort and +16.20 [11.23, 21.02] in the new cohort, using separate pointwise 95% intervals. No cohort pooling or parameter search is added. Unresolved preparation interactions, sampled extinctions and the negative-founder/positive-population-accuracy combination are retained.

The package includes the revised manuscript and supplement, 13 figures, all 15,053 saved-table estimates, scientific source through 057, seed provenance, full compact fate/negative-outcome tables and scoped audit receipts. The reproducibility scripts generate no population paths. Raw candidate trajectories and random tapes remain outside the compact release.

Version 1.0.0 and its DOI remain preserved. Manuscript/data: CC BY 4.0. Original code: MIT. AI assistance is disclosed; this preprint has not undergone external peer review.