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[Tier A] Norm-5 H4/H12 discriminator at N=325/425 #57

Description

@LightChainr

Why this is next

Norm-2 1+i doubling established the odd square-harmonic class but cannot distinguish H4 from H12/H20 aliases. Norm 5 is the cheapest Gaussian multiplier that breaks that alias cleanly, and the synthetic red-team shows that adding a new radial/angular lever is more informative than merely shrinking the SEs on the old five sizes.

Canonical execution assets are already on main:

  • predictions/gaussian_norm5_harmonic_discrimination_20260828.yaml
  • predictions/gaussian_normalized_p4_multiplier_spectrum_20260828.yaml
  • scripts/gaussian_semigroup_design.py
  • threshold-rank production support for N=325/425
  • P48 q=2/Jordan multiplier-transfer score

Frozen lineages

65 -> 325 via 2-i
  parent: (8,1) - (7,4)
  child:  (17,6) - (18,1)

85 -> 425 via 2+i
  parent: (9,2) - (7,6)
  child:  (16,13) - (19,8)

Raw DeltaM_child/DeltaM_parent predictions:

H4  = -0.040960171839542465...
H8  = -0.123348631768222166...
H12 = +0.110035405629746878...

H4 and H12 therefore predict opposite child signs. For normalized P4=DeltaX/DeltaCos4, use the corrected convention now on main: pure H4 transfers with positive 5^(-alpha); do not reapply the angular sign.

Fast execution plan

1. Run a small threshold-rank pilot now

Use the canonical N=325/425 engine. A threshold-rank pilot is sufficient: reconstruct DeltaM(p_ref) and its batch SE from the same histograms, so a separate fixed-p executable is not required.

Suggested first pass:

N=325: 1,000,000 paired permutations, >=100 batches
N=425: 1,000,000 paired permutations, >=100 batches
fresh seed / disjoint target counters

If 1M is too noisy for stable SE estimation, extend the pilot to 5M or 10M; do not inspect signs to choose the final sample count.

2. Convert measured pilot variance into a production count

For each child, scale the measured sampling variance as 1/R and report expected z against:

  • H4 target;
  • zero;
  • H12 target.

Choose the smallest practical production count that gives useful discrimination. Evaluate at least the existing grid 0.5B, 1B, 2B, 4B, but do not assume billions are necessary if the threshold-rank/common-field variance is better than the old rough fixed-p estimate.

3. Run both children; score raw H4 first

Primary output order:

H4 no-fit residuals
H12
H8
zero

Keep both child sizes regardless of significance. If parent/child streams are intentionally coupled, use aligned batches/full covariance; otherwise domain-separate and use the simpler independent covariance.

4. Reuse the same full curves

Do not stop at fixed p_ref. From the same threshold-rank data also reconstruct:

  • intrinsic-center DeltaM;
  • normalized P4 derivative channels;
  • root gaps / local closure;
  • P48 q=2 versus Jordan multiplier-transfer diagnostics.

This makes the expensive child run answer several questions at once.

Decision rule

The experiment is successful even if H4 fails. The useful outcomes are:

  • H4 sign/magnitude survives on both lineages -> strong support for the current spin-4 assignment;
  • H12 sign appears -> direct falsification of H4 dominance;
  • neither pure law works -> move to the already-declared mixed/correction models, without changing the multiplier or deleting a child size.

No comprehensive replay of old #39/#46 history is required before this run. New production should simply record clean source/binary hashes, seed/counters, batches, and the explicit cross-size RNG policy.

Activity

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