Flip ratified gate-2 amendment 2 live: explicit tranche structure (zero threshold movement) - #112
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…ro threshold movement) Moves gate-2's ratified amendment 2 (the tranche split) from the amendment_proposed object into the locked block. STRUCTURAL, zero threshold movement: the locked gate_2.thresholds scored surface is byte-identical to origin/master -- all 46 gated cells, every tolerance and derivation, the option-(a) protocol, the ln(1.5) power cap, and the 4-of-5 seed conjunction unchanged (verified at full-subtree granularity). Only naming, scope prose, the certification map, the unlocked sibling stubs, one governance rule, and the history changed. Ceremony (mirrors flips #69, #81, #97): adversarial round AMEND BEFORE RATIFYING (PR 111 comment 4930448912) -> fixes 81ea41e (comment 4930615774) -> verification RATIFY AS-IS (comment 4930753295) -> ratified by merge of PR 111 (merge commit 8a4a240) under the maintainer's standing campaign directive of 2026-07-07, full ceremony. The six locked-text edits (flip_on_ratification.flip_edits, applied exactly): - description: first clause re-scoped so tranche 2a claims only mh85_23 + cah85_23 (+ ind2023er deaths); household-composition/MX23REL -> gate_2b. - description_formula_clause: the "computes exactly" statutory-formula oracle clause (#78/#80) RETAINED verbatim (fix C1). - holdout_basis: [mh85_23, cah85_23, MX23REL] -> [mh85_23, cah85_23]; MX23REL -> gate_2b.holdout_basis. - scope_note: provision_class_coverage prose gains explicit tranche ids (2a/2b/2c); the certification_scope map is promoted into the locked scope. - scope_note_draft_label: "This DRAFT tranche covers..." relabeled to "tranche 2a_marital_fertility covers...". - scope_note_holdout_xref: the caregiver "named in holdout_basis but not scored in this draft" cross-reference re-pointed to the unlocked gate_2b. The five flip_additions: tranche_id 2a_marital_fertility inside thresholds; gate_2b (relationship_household) and gate_2c (marriage_earnings_joint) UNLOCKED sibling tranches (locked: false, no floor, no scored run, each with its own future lock ceremony naming the verification round); the certification_scope map promoted into the locked scope; and the standing governance rule description_claims_exactly_the_scored_surface promoted into gate_2.governance.amendment_rules (attributed to review #106 finding 4 / PR #111 finding 8), binding 2b/2c/gate_3. gate_2.name ("family and benefit outputs") retained per its C3 disposition (the tranche container). Also applies the two verification-round flip-time nits (comment 4930753295): the 2b bullet-3 legend quote spacing normalized to "poverty/household" to match the derivation_basis quote; and COLA qualified in the A2 own-record example list (its levels ride the Phase-B claiming/mortality components -- #74 marks CA, M, DI; #78 covers CA, M/DI uncertified -- so it is not a pure gate-1 + oracle surface, though still outside the 2a/2b/2c tranches). Adds gate_2's second amendment_history entry (id 2026-07-09-tranche-split; all four ceremony pointers; content: ZERO THRESHOLD MOVEMENT, verdicts v1-v15 FAIL and v16 PASS stand as tranche-2a verdicts, citing #106 finding 4 and the candidate-16 pass #109), and removes amendment_proposed (preserved in git history at the ratification merge 8a4a240). PROSPECTIVE / STRUCTURAL ONLY (no_self_rescue): a naming + certification-scope amendment has no verdict to rescue and re-scores nothing; candidate 16 stays PASS (4/5), candidates 1-15 stay FAIL, as tranche-2a verdicts. Tests rewired locked-hot: the re-scoped description/holdout_basis, tranche_id, the promoted certification_scope map (per-class requires_tranche + coverage tokens bound EXACTLY, both nits asserted), the gate_2b/gate_2c stubs, the promoted standing rule, and the second history entry with all four pointers rebind at their LIVE post-flip locations in a new "Gate-2 amendment 2 RATIFIED bindings" section. The proposal-object tests stay dormant-safe (guarded on proposal_number == 2, so they skip once amendment_proposed is gone), and the D1 merge-safe guard naturally skips post-flip. Full suite: 1319 passed, 68 skipped, 0 failed (-n 8); black -l 79 + ruff clean. Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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…eal couples (#114) REPORTED, NOT GATED. REAL DATA ONLY. Closes the Phase-A named delta: the Phase-A PI/PPI replication (replication_ppi_mermin) could only rank retired workers by their OWN career-average earnings, an individual analogue of Mermin (2005)'s SHARED-lifetime-earnings quintiles. With marriage histories validated, this reports Mermin's own-record price-indexing and progressive-price-indexing benefit cuts by SHARED quintile -- the paper's exact quintile concept -- on real PSID couples. Design: the benefit reform is the Phase-A encoding VERBATIM on own AIME (PPI bend at the 30th percentile of own AIME); the shared lifetime earnings (couple mean 0.5*(own+spouse) in marriage years, own when single; the R7 couple-join machinery verbatim; cap-after-averaging per Mermin p.3 fn.9 "wage-indexed like AIME") is Mermin's ranking variable only. So individual and shared share the identical per-person ratio and differ ONLY in the reporting quintile -- exactly as Mermin reports own-record benefits by shared-lifetime-income quintile. The three-way table isolates that: individual (own quintile) / shared (shared quintile) / anchor (Mermin). Population: Phase-A career frame (coverage_selected_persons, n=4835) intersected with marriage-history joinable (both-spouse covered) -> 3131 study persons; 45.8% reshuffle between the own and shared rankings. Result (PPI % of scheduled): the shared ranking moves Q1 from the individual 100.0 to 99.49 (within 0.79pp of Mermin's 98.7) and Q2 from 99.23 to 97.12, closer to the anchor at Q1-Q2; monotone; the upper quintiles stay compressed by the named truncated-window support restriction. All pre-registered expectations held. REAL DATA ONLY: the ratified gate-2 tranche map (#112) declares the marriage x earnings joint the separate UNLOCKED tranche 2c; a generated-couples version would require it, so this runs on real couples only (own-record benefit levels are outside tranches 2a/2b/2c, already certified). Frozen spec: issue #42 comment 4931009783. Artifact runs/replication_ppi_shared_v1.json (reported_not_gated: true, per-seed recomputable). Tests: internal-consistency + skipif-PSID seed-0 pin. Co-authored-by: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This was referenced Jul 10, 2026
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Flip ratified gate-2 amendment 2 live: explicit tranche structure
Authorized follow-up flip for gate-2 amendment 2 (the tranche split), ratified by merge of #111 (merge commit
8a4a24018) after the full ceremony, and mirroring the prior flips (#69 gate-1 amendment 2, #81 gate-2 lock, #97 gate-2 amendment 1).Ceremony: adversarial round AMEND BEFORE RATIFYING (comment 4930448912) → fixes
81ea41e(comment 4930615774) → verification RATIFY AS-IS (comment 4930753295) → ratified by merge of #111 under the maintainer's standing campaign directive of 2026-07-07.Zero threshold movement. The locked
gate_2.thresholdsscored surface is byte-identical toorigin/master— all 46 gated cells, every tolerance and derivation, the option-(a) protocol, theln(1.5)power cap,report_only, and the 4-of-5 seed conjunction are unchanged (verified at full-subtree granularity). Candidate 16 stays PASS (4/5) and candidates 1–15 stay FAIL, now as tranche-2a verdicts.The six locked-text edits (
flip_on_ratification.flip_edits, applied exactly)mh85_23 + cah85_23(+ind2023erdeaths); the household-composition/MX23REL clause moves into thegate_2bdeclaration.benefit formulas earn per-rule "computes exactly" statusstatutory-formula oracle clause (Claiming-age module: SSA Statistical Supplement reference and reduction wiring #78/Survivor and spousal benefit plumbing: 402(b)/(c)/(e)/(f) with oracle cross-checks #80) RETAINED verbatim (fix C1).[mh85_23, cah85_23, MX23REL]→[mh85_23, cah85_23]; MX23REL moves togate_2b.holdout_basis.provision_class_coverageprose gains explicit tranche ids (2a/2b/2c); thecertification_scopemap is promoted into the locked scope.This DRAFT tranche covers…heading relabeled totranche 2a_marital_fertility covers…(fix C2).named in holdout_basis but not scored in this draftcross-reference re-pointed to the unlockedgate_2b(fix C2).The five
flip_additionstranche_id: 2a_marital_fertilityadded insidegate_2.thresholds.gate_2b(relationship_household) andgate_2c(marriage_earnings_joint) declared as UNLOCKED sibling tranches (locked: false, no floor, no scored run, eachlock_ceremony.exists: falsewith a step list naming the verification round).certification_scopemap promoted into the lockedgate_2.thresholds.scope(per-classrequires_tranche+locked_coverage).description_claims_exactly_the_scored_surfacepromoted intogate_2.governance.amendment_rules, attributed to review External architecture review (Codex gpt-5.6-sol): 10 findings + pre-CPS refactor plan #106 finding 4 / PR Gate-2 amendment proposal 2: explicit tranche structure (review #106 finding 4) #111 finding 8, binding 2b/2c/gate_3.gate_2.name("family and benefit outputs") retained per its C3 disposition (the tranche container).The two verification-round flip-time nits (comment 4930753295)
poverty / householdtopoverty/householdso it matches the character-exactderivation_basisquote.History entry
Adds
gate_2.amendment_history[1]— id2026-07-09-tranche-split, with all four ceremony pointers (review4930448912/ fixes81ea41e+4930615774/ verification4930753295/ ratifying merge8a4a24018),flipped_live: this pull request, and zero-movement content citing #106 finding 4 and the candidate-16 pass (#109). Removesamendment_proposed(preserved in git history at the ratification merge).Locked-hot test rewiring
The load-bearing guarantees rebind at their LIVE post-flip locations in a new "Gate-2 amendment 2 RATIFIED bindings" section: the re-scoped description/holdout_basis, the
tranche_id, the promotedcertification_scopemap (per-classrequires_tranchelists +locked_coveragetokens bound EXACTLY and cross-checked against the locked note, both nits asserted), thegate_2b/gate_2cstubs, the promoted standing rule, the second history entry with all four pointers, and a direct zero-movement compare vsorigin/master. The proposal-object tests stay dormant-safe (guarded onproposal_number == 2, so they skip onceamendment_proposedis gone); the D1 merge-safe guardtest_gate2_amendment2_changes_no_locked_valuenaturally skips post-flip; the always-hotholdout_basisbinding is updated to the new live value.Full suite: 1319 passed, 68 skipped, 0 failed (
-n 8).black -l 79andruff checkclean.🤖 Generated with Claude Code