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Add NIPA and program-admin nonfiler controls to the US target profile #30

Description

@MaxGhenis

Problem

The US target profile needs independent/non-CPS target families for poverty resources and nonfilers. SOI covers filer/tax-form controls, but poverty and transfer-resource calibration also needs full-population and program-admin controls.

Scope

Add or verify Populace target loading/mapping for source-backed hard-target families enumerated in the Arch US poverty/nonfiler coverage contract:

  • BEA NIPA: wages/salaries, personal income components, personal income disposition, pension contributions.
  • IRS SOI filer/tax-form controls where applicable.
  • SSA Social Security and SSI.
  • USDA SNAP.
  • HHS ACF TANF and LIHEAP.
  • CMS health program controls: Medicaid/CHIP, ACA, Medicare Part B premium income, NHE totals.
  • Census controls: PEP population age/sex, ACS age demographics where used, state individual income tax collections.

Do not activate CPS SPM, DINA, or ACS poverty/income distributions as hard targets for this fix. Those belong in validation diagnostics.

Acceptance criteria

  • The US target profile has a structured inventory showing each hard-target family as active, mapped-but-inactive, or reviewed-excluded.
  • NIPA full-population controls are included for non-SOI income/transfer/tax backstops.
  • Program-admin SNAP/SSI/TANF/LIHEAP/CMS controls are represented as source-backed targets or explicitly excluded with reasons.
  • Release diagnostics report target fit by source family.
  • Tests prevent validation-only families from being activated as hard targets.

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