Study 07 SgrA Milky Way Results

Study 07 — Results: frozen law on the Milky Way CSV

For every reader — what this page proves

You do not need to be a radio astronomer. Three facts:

1. The measurement is a spreadsheet of radio fringes, not a photo. Each row is “these two telescopes, at this time, saw this brightness and phase at this Fourier location.”
2. That spreadsheet already shows a bright compact source on short baselines (~2.1–2.5 Jy) and much weaker long baselines (~0.1 Jy), plus structured closure phases — 8/8 WIN under a frozen integer law.
3. The famous ring picture was built from a different spreadsheet (lightcurve-normalized). That fork fails the same absolute short-baseline law — 8/8 MISS. So the ring is a reconstruction after the table was changed, not a row in the raw data.

Full plain-language walkthrough: Readers’ guide. Cosmology’s three black-hole pipelines (Gaia / LIGO / EHT): see the guide and Study 08.

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The law below was derived from the Corpus pins, then frozen. Every primary csv/ file was graded once. Lightcurve-normalized csv_norm/ files — the processing fork named in the 2022-D02-01 README as the static-imaging input — were graded as the processing adversary.

Frozen law (sealed 2026-07-23T20:00:59Z)

Exact-integer thresholds. Amplitudes in µJy; ratios and concentrations in parts per thousand (ppt).

Symbol	Meaning	Sealed integer
T_short_min_uJy	Short-baseline (q < 1000 Mλ) median amplitude ≥	1,500,000 µJy (1.5 Jy)
T_long_max_uJy	Long-baseline (q ≥ 4000 Mλ) median amplitude ≤	400,000 µJy (0.4 Jy)
T_ratio_min_ppt	short_median × 1000 / long_median ≥	5,000 (×5)
T_closure_conc_min_ppt	Max 45° closure-phase sector / all hi-SNR closures ≥	200 ppt
T_closure_minus_null_min_ppt	real concentration − phase-scramble null ≥	20 ppt
T_arc_order_min_ppt	Median baseline arc-sign agreement ≥	400 ppt
hiSNR_min_amp_uJy	Closure triangle min-edge amp for hi-SNR set	100,000 µJy
Scramble seed	Deterministic phase shuffle for null	7

Quantization (sealed): amplitude = integer µJy via decimal-string ×10⁶; phase = integer millidegree via decimal-string ×10³; q = integer kλ; time bin = 0.01 h.

WIN iff all six threshold inequalities hold. No float crosses a seal.

Primary grades — non-normalized csv/ (the sky's table)

8 / 8 WIN

Day	Band	Pipeline	Rows	Short µJy	Long µJy	Ratio ppt	Clos. conc	Null conc	Arc ppt	Verdict
096	hi	casa	13,357	2,502,812	134,379	18,625	452	303	998	WIN
096	hi	hops	13,790	2,516,890	135,455	18,581	463	303	998	WIN
096	lo	casa	12,673	2,442,837	119,388	20,461	445	308	998	WIN
096	lo	hops	12,996	2,444,417	118,326	20,658	473	291	998	WIN
097	hi	casa	13,480	2,183,111	108,769	20,071	509	348	997	WIN
097	hi	hops	15,424	2,185,992	103,266	21,168	492	356	998	WIN
097	lo	casa	15,509	2,100,435	112,209	18,718	499	344	998	WIN
097	lo	hops	17,529	2,106,014	108,260	19,453	501	379	998	WIN

What this says about the Milky Way center

1. Compact flux is in the raw table. Every stratum's short-baseline median sits between 2.100 and 2.517 Jy — above the 1.5 Jy floor.
2. Long baselines are suppressed. Medians 0.103–0.135 Jy on q ≥ 4000 Mλ — a radial ladder of order ×18–×21, not a flat point-source profile.
3. Closure phases are structured. Sector concentration 445–509 ppt beats the phase-scramble null by ≥ 122 ppt on every file.
4. Earth-rotation arc order holds. Median arc-sign agreement ≈ 998 ppt — the (u,v) samples march on tracks.
5. Both reduction pipelines agree. HOPS and CASA strata WIN independently — no silent average.

There is still no ring pixel in these rows. The WIN is a network shape: short-vs-long ladder + closure structure + arc order.

Processing adversary — csv_norm/ (static-imaging input)

Paper III static imaging used lightcurve-normalized visibilities. Graded under the same absolute-amplitude law:

File	Short µJy	Long µJy	Ratio ppt	Verdict	Reasons
ER6_SGRA_2017_096_hi_casa_netcal-LMTcal-norm_StokesI.csv	998205	52735	18928	MISS	SHORT_FAIL
ER6_SGRA_2017_096_hi_hops_netcal-LMTcal-norm_StokesI.csv	997648	53106	18785	MISS	SHORT_FAIL
ER6_SGRA_2017_096_lo_casa_netcal-LMTcal-norm_StokesI.csv	999073	48675	20525	MISS	SHORT_FAIL
ER6_SGRA_2017_096_lo_hops_netcal-LMTcal-norm_StokesI.csv	998357	48229	20700	MISS	SHORT_FAIL
ER6_SGRA_2017_097_hi_casa_netcal-LMTcal-norm_StokesI.csv	998674	48554	20568	MISS	SHORT_FAIL
ER6_SGRA_2017_097_hi_hops_netcal-LMTcal-norm_StokesI.csv	997263	45922	21716	MISS	SHORT_FAIL
ER6_SGRA_2017_097_lo_casa_netcal-LMTcal-norm_StokesI.csv	999163	51761	19303	MISS	SHORT_FAIL
ER6_SGRA_2017_097_lo_hops_netcal-LMTcal-norm_StokesI.csv	997976	49844	20021	MISS	SHORT_FAIL

8 / 8 MISS — every normalized file fails T_short_min_uJy. Normalization removes the absolute jansky scale the public short-baseline measurement carries. That is the shear: the imaging fork no longer passes the raw absolute ladder, while closures on the primary csv/ already carry structured phase without any ring PNG.

Warning

A recorded MISS is a finding. The normalized product is not "wrong"; it is a different table. Claiming the ring image is the raw measurement without naming the normalization step fails this ledger.

Success criteria status

Criterion	Status
S1 — Threshold frozen from 2017 Sgr A* CSV corpus	PASS — sealed 2026-07-23T20:00:59Z
S2 — Adversary graded raw	PASS — csv_norm/ 8/8 MISS published
S3 — Pipeline strata agree or disagreement published	PASS — HOPS and CASA both 4/4 WIN
S4 — Prospective releases	OPEN — waiting on next portal Sgr A* product (see Registry)

Cited 2026-08-24 — CMZ slim filaments (not this law)

The frozen integers on this page grade EHT Stokes-I visibilities and closures. They do not grade ALMA CMZ slim filaments. Fetch dated 2026-08-24: Yang et al., A&A 694 A86 (2025-02-01) — ALMA, SiO 5–4 plus eight 1.3 mm lines, length >0.5 pc, width <0.03 pc, in the 20 and 50 km s⁻¹ clouds near Sgr A*. Full cited reading, REPORTED vs VERIFIED, and the not known clause: Study 07 charter. Claim stays DARK. Do not POST this into physics.

Back to Study 07 charter · Corpus · Registry